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UKRAINE & RUSSIA :: Recent Issues: MONDAY JRL 7.21.14 :: SUNDAY JRL 7.20.14 :: FRIDAY JRL 7.18.14 :: WEDNESDAY JRL 7.16.14 :: MONDAY JRL 7.14.14

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Ukrainian Cows Kidnapped, Trafficked to Russia, Police Say

File Photo of U.S. Dairy Cows

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – July 18, 2014) Against the backdrop of blistering diplomatic tensions between Moscow and Kiev, a 172-head herd of cows has been illegally trafficked across the Russian border, the Luhansk region branch of Ukraine’s Interior Ministry claimed Thursday. The herd went missing Wednesday night from a farm in Luhansk region’s Belovodsky

RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#158 contents with links :: Monday 21 July 2014

St. Basil's file photo

1. Financial Times: Thomas Graham, To stop Putin the west should repair Ukraine’s economy. Those who want Russia punished with tougher sanctions are misguided.
2. Carnegie Moscow Center: Dmitri Trenin, Midsummer Blues.
3. Euromaidan Press/Ukrainska Pravda: The Klimkin interview: terrorism, war, EU, Merkel and Putin. (new Ukraine foreign minister)
4. Reuters: Fighting flares in Ukraine as crash investigators arrive …

Interfax: Russia did not provide Buk missile systems to Donbas militia – Gen. Staff

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

MOSCOW. July 21 (Interfax) – Russia did not provide the militia in southeastern Ukraine with Buk missile systems, the Russian Defense Ministry said. “The Russian Federation did not hand Buk missile systems, or other kinds of weapons or military hardware, to the militia,” said Gen. Andrei Kartopolov, chief of the Russian General Staff’s Main Operations

More blame game in Ukraine as dozens die in Luhansk shelling

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Business New Europe – bne.eu – Graham Stack in Luhansk, Ukraine – July 21, 2014) While the world has been transfixed by the crash site of Malaysian Airlines flight MH17, just an hour and half away dozens died from shelling in Luhansk on July 18. And while the guilt of Russian-backed rebels seems close to

Interfax: Water supplies to Donetsk stopped, city has water to last five days at most

File Photo of Water Facet with Drop of Water Coming Out

KYIV. July 21 (Interfax) – Donbas Water Company has stopped three pumping stations bringing water to the Seversky Donets – Donbas channel due to damage inflicted during battles, the press office of DTEK energy holding company of Ukrainian businessman Rinat Akhmetov said. “Due to the three pumping stations which have stopped pumping water to the

Russian Billionaires in ‘Horror’ as Putin Risks Isolation

File Photo of Cash, Coins, Line Graph

(Bloomberg – bloomberg.com – Henry Meyer, Irina Reznik, Ilya Arkhipov – July 21, 2014) Russia’s richest businessmen are increasingly frantic that President Vladimir Putin’s policies in Ukraine will lead to crippling sanctions and are too scared of reprisal to say so publicly, billionaires and analysts said. If Putin doesn’t move to end the war in

United States Assessment of the Downing of Flight MH17 and its Aftermath

File Photo of U.S. Embassy in Kiev, Ukraine, with U.S. Flag on Pole and U.S. Military

Embassy of the United States, Kyiv Ukraine July 19, 2014 We assess that Flight MH17 was likely downed by a SA-11 surface-to-air missile from separatist-controlled territory in eastern Ukraine. We base this judgment on several factors. Over the past month, we have detected an increasing amount of heavy weaponry to separatist fighters crossing the border

New Post on Russian Guilt; “Here Are The Intercepted Transcripts Indicating Russian Rebels Shot Down Malaysian Flight MH17″

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

[featured image is file photo] Subject: FW: new post on Russian guilt Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2014 From: Anders Aslund <AAslund@PIIE.COM> David: Another version of the same evidence. Best, Anders From: paul roderick gregory [pgregory@stanford.edu] Sent: Saturday, July 19, 2014 3:27 PM To: Anders Aslund; Gregory Paul Subject: new post on Russian guilt http://www.forbes.com/sites/paulroderickgregory/2014/07/19/what-more-smoking-guns-are-needed-for-mh17-the-worlds-first-sam-terrorism/ Forbes.com

The truth about MH17

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

[featured image is file photo] Subject: The truth about MH17 Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2014 From: Anders Aslund <AAslund@PIIE.COM> David: I hope you will lead with this excellent SBU video with English text next time. You can hardly get a better view of the reality of the MH17. http://www.sbu.gov.ua/sbu/control/en/publish/article?art_id=129088&cat_id=35317 Best, Anders [note from JRL web

Why Putin Can’t Afford to Dump the Ukrainian Separatists

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Alexey Eremenko – July 22, 2014) While Russia’s support of Ukrainian separatists has led to its worst standoff with the West in post-Soviet history, the Kremlin cannot afford to disown them because that would spell a major geopolitical defeat and alienate the jingoistic masses at home, Russian pundits said. The

RIA Novosti: U.S. Could Unveil Intelligence Data on Downed Boeing 777 in Ukraine

Ukraine Map and Flag

WASHINGTON, July 22 (RIA Novosti) – The United States could unveil intelligence assessment on the crash of a Malaysian passenger plane in eastern Ukraine, White House Spokesperson Josh Earnest said Monday. “I’m not in the position to offer a specific intelligence assessment. It’s certainly possible that we may be in the position to do that

RIA Novosti: Kiev Says Needs Almost $780 Million to Continue Special Operation

Ukraine Map and Flag

MOSCOW, July 22 (RIA Novosti) – Ukraine’s Finance Ministry has asked the parliament to earmark 9.1 billion hryvnia ($780 million) to finance the special operation against independence supporters in the country’s east, the ministry’s press service said. Finance Minister Oleksandr Shlapak said some 6.8 billion hryvnia ($583 million) was allocated for the operation in March.

Interfax: Moscow expects Boeing flight recorders to be given to ICAO experts – Russian Foreign Ministry

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

MOSCOW. July 22 (Interfax) – Moscow is satisfied with the southeastern Ukraine militia giving flight recorders of the crashed plane to Malaysian representatives and expects they will be transferred in the future to the international expert group under the aegis of the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), the Russian Foreign Ministry posted a statement on

Interfax: Patrushev says Russian decision-makers must heed opposition

Aerial View of Kremlin and Environs

MOSCOW. July 22 (Interfax) – The Russian Security Council Secretary, Nikolai Patrushev, has spoken of the need to draw conclusions from what is going on in Ukraine and heed the opinion of the Russian opposition. “The events occurring in Ukraine – their role for us is this: we must draw the right conclusions from them,”

Russia to Challenge U.S. Sanctions at WTO

WTO Logo

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Mark Lammey – July 21, 2014) Russia is planning to complain to the World Trade Organization, or WTO, abou t sanctions imposed by the U.S. over Russia’s perceived failure to help de-escalate the ongoing crisis in Ukraine, media reports said. The U.S. on Wednesday let rip with its third and

Moscow Times: Malaysia Airlines Tragedy Not a Game Changer in Ukraine

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Ivan Nechepurenko – July 21, 2014) Despite lofty predictions to the contrary, the downing of Malaysia Airlines MH17 will not change the game in Ukraine, analysts told The Moscow Times on Sunday. “Rather than pushing for reconciliation and negotiation, the West has used this tr agedy to consolidate against Russia,

Putin Calls for International Access to Airliner Crash Site

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Anna Dolgov – July 21, 2014) President Vladimir Putin called for international access to the crash site of a Malaysian airliner in rebel-controlled eastern Ukraine, while the leaders of the U.S. and EU nations accused him of failing to back up his words with action and warned of additional sanctions

RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#157 contents with links :: Sunday 20 July 2014

St. Basil's file photo

… 2. The Guardian: Masha Alekhina, Russian media is covering up Putin’s complicity in the MH17 tragedy.
3. Anders Aslund: The truth about MH17. (SBU video)
4. Forbes.com: Paul Robert Gregory, Here Are The Intercepted Transcripts Indicating Russian Rebels Shot Down Malaysian Flight MH17.
5. Embassy of the United States, Kyiv Ukraine: United States Assessment of the Downing of Flight MH17 and its Aftermath. …

RIA Novosti: OSCE Monitors Inspect Train with Bodies of MH17 Air Crash Victims

File Photo of OSCE Banners

TOREZ (Ukraine), July 20 (RIA Novosti) – Monitors from the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) have arrived at the railway station near the crash site of the downed Malaysia Airlines jet to inspect the train that is due to transport the victims’ bodies to Donetsk, a RIA Novosti correspondent reports on the

RIA Novosti: All Passengers’ Belongings Safe in Place of Malaysia Airlines Plane Crash – OSCE

File Photo of OSCE Banners

MOSCOW, July 19 (RIA Novosti) – The belongings of the passengers killed in a Malaysia Airlines Boeing-777 crash in eastern Ukraine have been safely preserved, a representative of the special mission of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) in Ukraine, Michael Bochurkiv, said Saturday, adding that no distortion by the militia in

RIA Novosti: US Conclusions on Boeing Crash in Ukraine Resemble Statements on Iraq’s Weapons – Rogozin

Dmitry Rogozin file photo

MOSCOW, July 19 (RIA Novosti) – Russian Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin compared Washington’s hasty conclusions on the cause of the Malaysia Airlines Boeing-777 crash in Ukraine to its statement on Iraq’s possession of weapons of mass destruction made years ago. “The White House has established the guilty even before the investigation of the Boeing

How will new round of sanctions affect Russia?

File Photo of Cash, Coins, Line Graph

(Russia Beyond the Headlines – rbth.ru – Alexei Lossan, RBTH – July 18, 2014) The U.S. Department of the Treasury has included large Russian companies in its list of sanctions, including the main institute of development VEB (Vnesheconombank), the major oil company Rosneft, and several defense-industrial enterprises. Experts consider these to be the most serious

RIA Novosti: EC Unsure Why US Believes Missile Shot Down Malaysian Plane in Ukraine – Source

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

BRUSSELS, July 18 (RIA Novosti) – The European Commission does not know on what basis the United States concluded that a Malaysian Airlines passenger plane, which crashed in eastern Ukraine, was shot down by a missile, a source in the EC told RIA Novosti on Friday. “One must ask them. The European Commission does not

RIA Novosti: Medvedev Says U.S. Sanctions against Moscow Won’t Bust Russian Economy

Dmitry Medvedev file photo

LIPETSK, July 18 (RIA Novosti) – US sanctions imposed on Russia are restraints but will not cripple the country’s economy, Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev said Friday. “This is a program of limiting our country, or as is accepted to say, restraining [Russia],” Medvedev told students at a metallurgical plant in Lipetsk. “Sanctions won’t cripple

RIA Novosti: Donetsk Leader Calls for Ceasefire with Kiev to Investigate Malaysia Airlines Crash

Ukraine Map and Flag

MOSCOW, July 18 (RIA Novosti) – The authorities from the self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic in eastern Ukraine are discussing a ceasefire with Kiev in order to investigate the Malaysia Airlines passenger plane disaster, the republic’s prime minister told RIA Novosti by telephone Friday. DPR Prime Minister Alexander Borodai said that a meeting would be held

Interfax: Putin blames Ukraine for Boeing crash

File Photo of Vladimir Putin Sitting at Desk

MOSCOW. July 18 (Interfax) – Russian President Vladimir Putin believes Ukraine is responsible for the Malaysia Airline plane crash on Thursday. “Definitely, the state in whose airspace this has happened bears responsibility for this terrible tragedy,” the Russian chief of state said late on Thursday night at a conference on economic issues. He proposed to

RIA Novosti: Russian Defense Ministry Says Intercepted Ukrainian Radar Activity on Day of Plane Crash

Map of Western CIS/FSU and European Environs

MOSCOW, July 18 (RIA Novosti) – The Russian Defense Ministry says it had intercepted the activity of a Ukrainian radar system on the day the Malaysian plane went down in eastern Ukraine, the ministry’s press service said Friday. “Throughout the day on July 17, Russian means of radar surveillance intercepted the operation of the Buk-M1

Interfax: Russia confirms operation of Ukrainian long-range defense systems on day of MH17 crash

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

(Interfax – July 18, 2014) The route and crash site of yesterday’s downed Malaysian Boeing 777 jet falls within the zone targeted by two Ukrainian squadrons operating a S-200 long-range air defense system and three squadrons operating a Buk-M1 medium-range air defense system, a spokesperson for the Russian Defense Ministry told Interfax-AVN on Friday. Throughout

Interfax: No sign of U.S. wanting to signal to Kyiv in favor of negotiated solution of Ukrainian crisis – Lavrov

Sergei Lavrov file photo

MOSCOW. July 18 (Interfax) – Moscow does not see any sign of the U.S. authorities wanting to facilitate a negotiated solution of the Ukrainian crisis, said Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. “We are not feeling a U.S. desire to send signals to Kyiv in favor of a negotiated resolution,” he said in an interview with

NEWSLINK: IHS Jane’s analysis of the capabilities of Ukraine’s missile systems

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

["IHS Jane's analysis of the capabilities of Ukraine's missile systems" - IHS - press.ihs.com - July 17, 2014] The IHS Jane’s Missiles & Rockets editor considers the shoot-down of the Malaysian civilian airliner in eastern Ukraine. An airliner cruising at around 30,000 ft altitude would be well above the coverage of shoulder-fired man-portable missile systems … * *

RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#156 contents with links :: Friday 18 July 2014

St. Basil's file photo

[check back for updates, including more links; links also posted to facebook and twitter] Johnson’s Russia List JRL 2014-#156 :: Friday 18 July 2014 E-Mail: davidjohnson@starpower.net A project of the Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies (IERES) at The George  Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs: www.ieres.org JRL homepage: russialist.org JRL on Facebook: facebook.com/russialist  JRL on Twitter: twitter.com/JohnsonRussiaLi Support JRL: russialist.org/funding.php 1. ITAR-TASS: Militias do not have

NEWSLINK: World leaders demand answers after airliner downed over Ukraine with 298 dead

Ukraine Map and Flag

["World leaders demand answers after airliner downed over Ukraine with 298 dead" - Reuters - Anton Zverev - July 18, 2014] Reuters covers the shoot-down of the Malaysian civilian jumbo jet in eastern Ukraine and its aftermath, including calls for an international investigation. World leaders demanded an international investigation into the shooting down of a Malaysian airliner

RIA Novosti: Ukraine Predicts Bilateral Trade with Russia to Cease

Map of Commonwealth of Independent States, European Portion

KIEV, July 18 (RIA Novosti) – Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk on Friday predicted that bilateral trade between Russia and Ukraine could come to a full stop over the complicated relations between the two countries and European sanctions imposed on Russia. “My prediction is the following: preparations reqired for an almost complete limitation of trade

NEWSLINK: Rival Claims Over Crashed Malaysia Plane’s Recorders

Ukraine Map and Flag

["Rival Claims Over Crashed Malaysia Plane's Recorders" - New York Times - Sabrina Tavernise, Keith Bradsher - July 18, 2014] The New York Times reports on investigations in the aftermath of the shoot-down of Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 in eastern Ukraine, including questions about who will gain custody of the doomed jet’s data recorders. The grisly

Interfax: Defense Ministry denies Russian air defense involvement in Boeing 777 crash

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

(Interfax – MOSCOW, July 18, 2014) The Russian Defense Ministry has denied the alleged involvement of Russian air defense and military aircraft in the crash of the Malaysia Airlines Boeing 777. “In view of various kinds of speculations regarding operations of the Russian armed forces in the areas bordering Ukrainian, we affirm that air defense

NEWSLINK: Ukraine’s emergency services find two black boxes at crash site – Interfax-Ukraine

Ukraine Map and Flag

["Ukraine's emergency services find two black boxes at crash site- - Interfax-Ukraine" - Reuters - KIEV, July 18, 2014] Reuters reports on claims that black boxes have been found near the crash site of a Malaysian airliner in eastern Ukraine: Ukraine’s emergency services have found two black boxes at the crash site of a Malaysian airliner, Interfax-Ukraine quoted

RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#155 contents with links :: Wednesday 16 July 2014

St. Basil's file photo

… 21. Paul Goble: Window on Eurasia: Russians and Ukrainians Becoming Like Serbs and Croatians, Solovey Says.
22. RFE/RL: Brian Whitmore, Slobodan’s Ghost.
23. www.foreignpolicy.com: Jeffrey Lewis, The only way to contain Moscow is to understand that there’s a still cold warrior in the Kremlin. …

Business Mood Brightens, But Won’t Save Russian Economy, Study Finds

File Photo of Cash, Coins, Line Graph

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Delphine d’Amora – July 16, 2014) Economic sentiment among Russian businesses improved in the second quarter, but the effect was largely seasonal and shot through with troubling long-term trends, a study published by the Higher School of Economics found. As the mood in retail and the services industry brightened –

Interfax: Most Ukrainian industrial production facilities will stop with severance of diplomatic ties with Russia – Federation Council members

Federation Council file photo

MOSCOW. July 16 (Interfax) – Members of the Russian Federation Council believe that Ukraine would experience grave socioeconomic consequences from the possible severance of diplomatic relations with Russia. Nikolai Ryzhkov, Federation Council member and the head of a public committee for support of the residents of southeastern Ukraine, described remarks by Ukrainian officials suggesting that

Slobodan’s Ghost

File Photo of Slobodan Milosevic at Table in Profile, Surrounded by Officials and Others

(RFE/RL – rferl.org – Brian Whitmore – July 14, 2014) There’s a specter haunting Vladimir Putin — the specter of Slobodan Milosevic. As the Ukraine crisis has unfolded, it has become fashionable — and even a bit of a fetish — to compare the Kremlin leader to the late Serbian dictator. Writing recently in “The New Republic,” Vera Mironova

Russians and Ukrainians Becoming Like Serbs and Croatians, Solovey Says

Map of Commonwealth of Independent States, European Portion

(Window on Eurasia – Paul Goble – Staunton, July 16, 2014) The conflict in southeastern Ukraine is becoming like the Yugoslav war with the Russians and Ukrainians becoming like the Serbs and Croatians, developments which mean that “we cannot now even imagine the consequences” of this war for the region and the world, according to

RIA Novosti: Ninety Percent of Militia in Eastern Ukraine Local Citizens – Self-Defense Forces Leader

Ukraine Map and Flag

HORLIVKA (DONETSK REGION), July 16 (RIA Novosti) – Ninety percent of the independence supporters fighting alongside the government forces in the southeast of Ukraine are local citizens, Horlivka self-defense militia’s leader Ihor Bezler said in an interview with RIA Novosti. “Those Russians who survived the massacre in the airport [on May 26] came to me,

RIA Novosti: West Suspends Fighting Terrorism, Drugs With Russia Over Ukraine

File Photo of Vladimir Putin and Barack Obama Seated with Flags Behind

MOSCOW, July 16 (RIA Novosti) The pause in NATO’s collaboration with Russia in fighting terrorism and drug trafficking because of Moscow’s position on the Ukrainian crisis “punishes” primarily the people of the involved territories and points out the shortsighted approach of a range of Western countries, Ilya Rogachev, director of the department of new challenges

INTERVIEW: Kruk fears “frozen conflict” in Ukraine as Russia spreads disorder in Europe

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Business New Europe – bne.eu – Liam Halligan in London – July 16, 2014) Kateryna Kruk was born in Rivne, Western Ukraine in 1991. After studying for a Master’s Degree in Poland, she returned to Kyiv last autumn as the Euromaidan protests began. Determined to shift Ukraine towards Western Europe, Kruk became heavily involved in

Press Digest: Ukraine leadership launches ‘offensive’ on Maidan

Collage of Russian Newspapers

(Russia Beyond the Headlines – rbth.ru – Darya Lyubinskaya, special to RBTH – July 15, 2014) RBTH presents a selection of views from leading Russian media, featuring news of the possible clearance of the protest camps on Kiev’s Maidan, analysis of the incident in which a Ukrainian shell hit a Russian border town, and reports


Ukrainian Cows Kidnapped, Trafficked to Russia, Police Say

File Photo of U.S. Dairy Cows

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – July 18, 2014) Against the backdrop of blistering diplomatic tensions between Moscow and Kiev, a 172-head herd of cows has been illegally trafficked across the Russian border, the Luhansk region branch of Ukraine’s Interior Ministry claimed Thursday. The herd went missing Wednesday night from a farm in Luhansk region’s Belovodsky

RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#158 contents with links :: Monday 21 July 2014

St. Basil's file photo

1. Financial Times: Thomas Graham, To stop Putin the west should repair Ukraine’s economy. Those who want Russia punished with tougher sanctions are misguided.
2. Carnegie Moscow Center: Dmitri Trenin, Midsummer Blues.
3. Euromaidan Press/Ukrainska Pravda: The Klimkin interview: terrorism, war, EU, Merkel and Putin. (new Ukraine foreign minister)
4. Reuters: Fighting flares in Ukraine as crash investigators arrive …

Interfax: Russia did not provide Buk missile systems to Donbas militia – Gen. Staff

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

MOSCOW. July 21 (Interfax) – Russia did not provide the militia in southeastern Ukraine with Buk missile systems, the Russian Defense Ministry said. “The Russian Federation did not hand Buk missile systems, or other kinds of weapons or military hardware, to the militia,” said Gen. Andrei Kartopolov, chief of the Russian General Staff’s Main Operations

More blame game in Ukraine as dozens die in Luhansk shelling

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Business New Europe – bne.eu – Graham Stack in Luhansk, Ukraine – July 21, 2014) While the world has been transfixed by the crash site of Malaysian Airlines flight MH17, just an hour and half away dozens died from shelling in Luhansk on July 18. And while the guilt of Russian-backed rebels seems close to

Interfax: Water supplies to Donetsk stopped, city has water to last five days at most

File Photo of Water Facet with Drop of Water Coming Out

KYIV. July 21 (Interfax) – Donbas Water Company has stopped three pumping stations bringing water to the Seversky Donets – Donbas channel due to damage inflicted during battles, the press office of DTEK energy holding company of Ukrainian businessman Rinat Akhmetov said. “Due to the three pumping stations which have stopped pumping water to the

Russian Billionaires in ‘Horror’ as Putin Risks Isolation

File Photo of Cash, Coins, Line Graph

(Bloomberg – bloomberg.com – Henry Meyer, Irina Reznik, Ilya Arkhipov – July 21, 2014) Russia’s richest businessmen are increasingly frantic that President Vladimir Putin’s policies in Ukraine will lead to crippling sanctions and are too scared of reprisal to say so publicly, billionaires and analysts said. If Putin doesn’t move to end the war in

United States Assessment of the Downing of Flight MH17 and its Aftermath

File Photo of U.S. Embassy in Kiev, Ukraine, with U.S. Flag on Pole and U.S. Military

Embassy of the United States, Kyiv Ukraine July 19, 2014 We assess that Flight MH17 was likely downed by a SA-11 surface-to-air missile from separatist-controlled territory in eastern Ukraine. We base this judgment on several factors. Over the past month, we have detected an increasing amount of heavy weaponry to separatist fighters crossing the border

New Post on Russian Guilt; “Here Are The Intercepted Transcripts Indicating Russian Rebels Shot Down Malaysian Flight MH17″

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

[featured image is file photo] Subject: FW: new post on Russian guilt Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2014 From: Anders Aslund <AAslund@PIIE.COM> David: Another version of the same evidence. Best, Anders From: paul roderick gregory [pgregory@stanford.edu] Sent: Saturday, July 19, 2014 3:27 PM To: Anders Aslund; Gregory Paul Subject: new post on Russian guilt http://www.forbes.com/sites/paulroderickgregory/2014/07/19/what-more-smoking-guns-are-needed-for-mh17-the-worlds-first-sam-terrorism/ Forbes.com

The truth about MH17

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

[featured image is file photo] Subject: The truth about MH17 Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2014 From: Anders Aslund <AAslund@PIIE.COM> David: I hope you will lead with this excellent SBU video with English text next time. You can hardly get a better view of the reality of the MH17. http://www.sbu.gov.ua/sbu/control/en/publish/article?art_id=129088&cat_id=35317 Best, Anders [note from JRL web

Why Putin Can’t Afford to Dump the Ukrainian Separatists

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Alexey Eremenko – July 22, 2014) While Russia’s support of Ukrainian separatists has led to its worst standoff with the West in post-Soviet history, the Kremlin cannot afford to disown them because that would spell a major geopolitical defeat and alienate the jingoistic masses at home, Russian pundits said. The

RIA Novosti: U.S. Could Unveil Intelligence Data on Downed Boeing 777 in Ukraine

Ukraine Map and Flag

WASHINGTON, July 22 (RIA Novosti) – The United States could unveil intelligence assessment on the crash of a Malaysian passenger plane in eastern Ukraine, White House Spokesperson Josh Earnest said Monday. “I’m not in the position to offer a specific intelligence assessment. It’s certainly possible that we may be in the position to do that

RIA Novosti: Kiev Says Needs Almost $780 Million to Continue Special Operation

Ukraine Map and Flag

MOSCOW, July 22 (RIA Novosti) – Ukraine’s Finance Ministry has asked the parliament to earmark 9.1 billion hryvnia ($780 million) to finance the special operation against independence supporters in the country’s east, the ministry’s press service said. Finance Minister Oleksandr Shlapak said some 6.8 billion hryvnia ($583 million) was allocated for the operation in March.

Interfax: Moscow expects Boeing flight recorders to be given to ICAO experts – Russian Foreign Ministry

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

MOSCOW. July 22 (Interfax) – Moscow is satisfied with the southeastern Ukraine militia giving flight recorders of the crashed plane to Malaysian representatives and expects they will be transferred in the future to the international expert group under the aegis of the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), the Russian Foreign Ministry posted a statement on

Interfax: Patrushev says Russian decision-makers must heed opposition

Aerial View of Kremlin and Environs

MOSCOW. July 22 (Interfax) – The Russian Security Council Secretary, Nikolai Patrushev, has spoken of the need to draw conclusions from what is going on in Ukraine and heed the opinion of the Russian opposition. “The events occurring in Ukraine – their role for us is this: we must draw the right conclusions from them,”

Russia to Challenge U.S. Sanctions at WTO

WTO Logo

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Mark Lammey – July 21, 2014) Russia is planning to complain to the World Trade Organization, or WTO, abou t sanctions imposed by the U.S. over Russia’s perceived failure to help de-escalate the ongoing crisis in Ukraine, media reports said. The U.S. on Wednesday let rip with its third and

Moscow Times: Malaysia Airlines Tragedy Not a Game Changer in Ukraine

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Ivan Nechepurenko – July 21, 2014) Despite lofty predictions to the contrary, the downing of Malaysia Airlines MH17 will not change the game in Ukraine, analysts told The Moscow Times on Sunday. “Rather than pushing for reconciliation and negotiation, the West has used this tr agedy to consolidate against Russia,

Putin Calls for International Access to Airliner Crash Site

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Anna Dolgov – July 21, 2014) President Vladimir Putin called for international access to the crash site of a Malaysian airliner in rebel-controlled eastern Ukraine, while the leaders of the U.S. and EU nations accused him of failing to back up his words with action and warned of additional sanctions

RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#157 contents with links :: Sunday 20 July 2014

St. Basil's file photo

… 2. The Guardian: Masha Alekhina, Russian media is covering up Putin’s complicity in the MH17 tragedy.
3. Anders Aslund: The truth about MH17. (SBU video)
4. Forbes.com: Paul Robert Gregory, Here Are The Intercepted Transcripts Indicating Russian Rebels Shot Down Malaysian Flight MH17.
5. Embassy of the United States, Kyiv Ukraine: United States Assessment of the Downing of Flight MH17 and its Aftermath. …

RIA Novosti: OSCE Monitors Inspect Train with Bodies of MH17 Air Crash Victims

File Photo of OSCE Banners

TOREZ (Ukraine), July 20 (RIA Novosti) – Monitors from the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) have arrived at the railway station near the crash site of the downed Malaysia Airlines jet to inspect the train that is due to transport the victims’ bodies to Donetsk, a RIA Novosti correspondent reports on the

RIA Novosti: All Passengers’ Belongings Safe in Place of Malaysia Airlines Plane Crash – OSCE

File Photo of OSCE Banners

MOSCOW, July 19 (RIA Novosti) – The belongings of the passengers killed in a Malaysia Airlines Boeing-777 crash in eastern Ukraine have been safely preserved, a representative of the special mission of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) in Ukraine, Michael Bochurkiv, said Saturday, adding that no distortion by the militia in

RIA Novosti: US Conclusions on Boeing Crash in Ukraine Resemble Statements on Iraq’s Weapons – Rogozin

Dmitry Rogozin file photo

MOSCOW, July 19 (RIA Novosti) – Russian Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin compared Washington’s hasty conclusions on the cause of the Malaysia Airlines Boeing-777 crash in Ukraine to its statement on Iraq’s possession of weapons of mass destruction made years ago. “The White House has established the guilty even before the investigation of the Boeing

How will new round of sanctions affect Russia?

File Photo of Cash, Coins, Line Graph

(Russia Beyond the Headlines – rbth.ru – Alexei Lossan, RBTH – July 18, 2014) The U.S. Department of the Treasury has included large Russian companies in its list of sanctions, including the main institute of development VEB (Vnesheconombank), the major oil company Rosneft, and several defense-industrial enterprises. Experts consider these to be the most serious

RIA Novosti: EC Unsure Why US Believes Missile Shot Down Malaysian Plane in Ukraine – Source

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

BRUSSELS, July 18 (RIA Novosti) – The European Commission does not know on what basis the United States concluded that a Malaysian Airlines passenger plane, which crashed in eastern Ukraine, was shot down by a missile, a source in the EC told RIA Novosti on Friday. “One must ask them. The European Commission does not

RIA Novosti: Medvedev Says U.S. Sanctions against Moscow Won’t Bust Russian Economy

Dmitry Medvedev file photo

LIPETSK, July 18 (RIA Novosti) – US sanctions imposed on Russia are restraints but will not cripple the country’s economy, Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev said Friday. “This is a program of limiting our country, or as is accepted to say, restraining [Russia],” Medvedev told students at a metallurgical plant in Lipetsk. “Sanctions won’t cripple

RIA Novosti: Donetsk Leader Calls for Ceasefire with Kiev to Investigate Malaysia Airlines Crash

Ukraine Map and Flag

MOSCOW, July 18 (RIA Novosti) – The authorities from the self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic in eastern Ukraine are discussing a ceasefire with Kiev in order to investigate the Malaysia Airlines passenger plane disaster, the republic’s prime minister told RIA Novosti by telephone Friday. DPR Prime Minister Alexander Borodai said that a meeting would be held

Interfax: Putin blames Ukraine for Boeing crash

File Photo of Vladimir Putin Sitting at Desk

MOSCOW. July 18 (Interfax) – Russian President Vladimir Putin believes Ukraine is responsible for the Malaysia Airline plane crash on Thursday. “Definitely, the state in whose airspace this has happened bears responsibility for this terrible tragedy,” the Russian chief of state said late on Thursday night at a conference on economic issues. He proposed to

RIA Novosti: Russian Defense Ministry Says Intercepted Ukrainian Radar Activity on Day of Plane Crash

Map of Western CIS/FSU and European Environs

MOSCOW, July 18 (RIA Novosti) – The Russian Defense Ministry says it had intercepted the activity of a Ukrainian radar system on the day the Malaysian plane went down in eastern Ukraine, the ministry’s press service said Friday. “Throughout the day on July 17, Russian means of radar surveillance intercepted the operation of the Buk-M1

Interfax: Russia confirms operation of Ukrainian long-range defense systems on day of MH17 crash

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

(Interfax – July 18, 2014) The route and crash site of yesterday’s downed Malaysian Boeing 777 jet falls within the zone targeted by two Ukrainian squadrons operating a S-200 long-range air defense system and three squadrons operating a Buk-M1 medium-range air defense system, a spokesperson for the Russian Defense Ministry told Interfax-AVN on Friday. Throughout

Interfax: No sign of U.S. wanting to signal to Kyiv in favor of negotiated solution of Ukrainian crisis – Lavrov

Sergei Lavrov file photo

MOSCOW. July 18 (Interfax) – Moscow does not see any sign of the U.S. authorities wanting to facilitate a negotiated solution of the Ukrainian crisis, said Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. “We are not feeling a U.S. desire to send signals to Kyiv in favor of a negotiated resolution,” he said in an interview with

NEWSLINK: IHS Jane’s analysis of the capabilities of Ukraine’s missile systems

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

["IHS Jane's analysis of the capabilities of Ukraine's missile systems" - IHS - press.ihs.com - July 17, 2014] The IHS Jane’s Missiles & Rockets editor considers the shoot-down of the Malaysian civilian airliner in eastern Ukraine. An airliner cruising at around 30,000 ft altitude would be well above the coverage of shoulder-fired man-portable missile systems … * *

RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#156 contents with links :: Friday 18 July 2014

St. Basil's file photo

[check back for updates, including more links; links also posted to facebook and twitter] Johnson’s Russia List JRL 2014-#156 :: Friday 18 July 2014 E-Mail: davidjohnson@starpower.net A project of the Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies (IERES) at The George  Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs: www.ieres.org JRL homepage: russialist.org JRL on Facebook: facebook.com/russialist  JRL on Twitter: twitter.com/JohnsonRussiaLi Support JRL: russialist.org/funding.php 1. ITAR-TASS: Militias do not have

NEWSLINK: World leaders demand answers after airliner downed over Ukraine with 298 dead

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["World leaders demand answers after airliner downed over Ukraine with 298 dead" - Reuters - Anton Zverev - July 18, 2014] Reuters covers the shoot-down of the Malaysian civilian jumbo jet in eastern Ukraine and its aftermath, including calls for an international investigation. World leaders demanded an international investigation into the shooting down of a Malaysian airliner

RIA Novosti: Ukraine Predicts Bilateral Trade with Russia to Cease

Map of Commonwealth of Independent States, European Portion

KIEV, July 18 (RIA Novosti) – Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk on Friday predicted that bilateral trade between Russia and Ukraine could come to a full stop over the complicated relations between the two countries and European sanctions imposed on Russia. “My prediction is the following: preparations reqired for an almost complete limitation of trade

NEWSLINK: Rival Claims Over Crashed Malaysia Plane’s Recorders

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["Rival Claims Over Crashed Malaysia Plane's Recorders" - New York Times - Sabrina Tavernise, Keith Bradsher - July 18, 2014] The New York Times reports on investigations in the aftermath of the shoot-down of Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 in eastern Ukraine, including questions about who will gain custody of the doomed jet’s data recorders. The grisly

Interfax: Defense Ministry denies Russian air defense involvement in Boeing 777 crash

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

(Interfax – MOSCOW, July 18, 2014) The Russian Defense Ministry has denied the alleged involvement of Russian air defense and military aircraft in the crash of the Malaysia Airlines Boeing 777. “In view of various kinds of speculations regarding operations of the Russian armed forces in the areas bordering Ukrainian, we affirm that air defense

NEWSLINK: Ukraine’s emergency services find two black boxes at crash site – Interfax-Ukraine

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["Ukraine's emergency services find two black boxes at crash site- - Interfax-Ukraine" - Reuters - KIEV, July 18, 2014] Reuters reports on claims that black boxes have been found near the crash site of a Malaysian airliner in eastern Ukraine: Ukraine’s emergency services have found two black boxes at the crash site of a Malaysian airliner, Interfax-Ukraine quoted

RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#155 contents with links :: Wednesday 16 July 2014

St. Basil's file photo

… 21. Paul Goble: Window on Eurasia: Russians and Ukrainians Becoming Like Serbs and Croatians, Solovey Says.
22. RFE/RL: Brian Whitmore, Slobodan’s Ghost.
23. www.foreignpolicy.com: Jeffrey Lewis, The only way to contain Moscow is to understand that there’s a still cold warrior in the Kremlin. …

Business Mood Brightens, But Won’t Save Russian Economy, Study Finds

File Photo of Cash, Coins, Line Graph

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Delphine d’Amora – July 16, 2014) Economic sentiment among Russian businesses improved in the second quarter, but the effect was largely seasonal and shot through with troubling long-term trends, a study published by the Higher School of Economics found. As the mood in retail and the services industry brightened –

Interfax: Most Ukrainian industrial production facilities will stop with severance of diplomatic ties with Russia – Federation Council members

Federation Council file photo

MOSCOW. July 16 (Interfax) – Members of the Russian Federation Council believe that Ukraine would experience grave socioeconomic consequences from the possible severance of diplomatic relations with Russia. Nikolai Ryzhkov, Federation Council member and the head of a public committee for support of the residents of southeastern Ukraine, described remarks by Ukrainian officials suggesting that

Slobodan’s Ghost

File Photo of Slobodan Milosevic at Table in Profile, Surrounded by Officials and Others

(RFE/RL – rferl.org – Brian Whitmore – July 14, 2014) There’s a specter haunting Vladimir Putin — the specter of Slobodan Milosevic. As the Ukraine crisis has unfolded, it has become fashionable — and even a bit of a fetish — to compare the Kremlin leader to the late Serbian dictator. Writing recently in “The New Republic,” Vera Mironova

Russians and Ukrainians Becoming Like Serbs and Croatians, Solovey Says

Map of Commonwealth of Independent States, European Portion

(Window on Eurasia – Paul Goble – Staunton, July 16, 2014) The conflict in southeastern Ukraine is becoming like the Yugoslav war with the Russians and Ukrainians becoming like the Serbs and Croatians, developments which mean that “we cannot now even imagine the consequences” of this war for the region and the world, according to

RIA Novosti: Ninety Percent of Militia in Eastern Ukraine Local Citizens – Self-Defense Forces Leader

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HORLIVKA (DONETSK REGION), July 16 (RIA Novosti) – Ninety percent of the independence supporters fighting alongside the government forces in the southeast of Ukraine are local citizens, Horlivka self-defense militia’s leader Ihor Bezler said in an interview with RIA Novosti. “Those Russians who survived the massacre in the airport [on May 26] came to me,

RIA Novosti: West Suspends Fighting Terrorism, Drugs With Russia Over Ukraine

File Photo of Vladimir Putin and Barack Obama Seated with Flags Behind

MOSCOW, July 16 (RIA Novosti) The pause in NATO’s collaboration with Russia in fighting terrorism and drug trafficking because of Moscow’s position on the Ukrainian crisis “punishes” primarily the people of the involved territories and points out the shortsighted approach of a range of Western countries, Ilya Rogachev, director of the department of new challenges

INTERVIEW: Kruk fears “frozen conflict” in Ukraine as Russia spreads disorder in Europe

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(Business New Europe – bne.eu – Liam Halligan in London – July 16, 2014) Kateryna Kruk was born in Rivne, Western Ukraine in 1991. After studying for a Master’s Degree in Poland, she returned to Kyiv last autumn as the Euromaidan protests began. Determined to shift Ukraine towards Western Europe, Kruk became heavily involved in

Press Digest: Ukraine leadership launches ‘offensive’ on Maidan

Collage of Russian Newspapers

(Russia Beyond the Headlines – rbth.ru – Darya Lyubinskaya, special to RBTH – July 15, 2014) RBTH presents a selection of views from leading Russian media, featuring news of the possible clearance of the protest camps on Kiev’s Maidan, analysis of the incident in which a Ukrainian shell hit a Russian border town, and reports

RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#154 contents with links :: Monday 14 July 2014

St. Basil's file photo

… 28. Wall Street Journal: Stephen Sestanovich, What the Senate Gets Wrong About Ukraine.
29. The Economist: War in Ukraine. A mounting toll.
30. The American Interest: Lilia Shevtsova, Crisis in Ukraine Blurred Lines Between War and Peace.
31. Reuters: Putin’s goal is to showcase Russia at 2018 World Cup. …

Russia Becoming ‘Land of Obscurantism in Age of Smartphones,’ Moscow Psychologist Says

Kremlin and Saint Basil's File Photo

(Window on Eurasia – Paul Goble – Staunton, July 13, 2014) Despite the trappings of modernity, Russia is rapidly moving toward an obscurantist medievalism much Afghanistan under the Taliban and Iran under the ayatollahs and equally and even more disturbingly much like Germany under the Third Reich, according to Aleksandr Asmolov, a psychologist at Moscow

Russian Government Sets Up Four-Year Plan to Boost Productivity

Cash, Calculator, Pen

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Delphine d’Amora – July 14, 2014) In an effort to transform Russia’s oil-dependent economy into a sustainable engine of growth, the government has unveiled a series of legal and financial measures aimed at fulfilling President Vladimir Putin’s ambitious pledge to increase Russia’s labor productivity 50 percent by 2018. Approved Wednesday

Ukraine Could Recover Crimea Only If Russia Were Seriously Weakened, Moscow Analyst Says

Map of Commonwealth of Independent States, European Portion

(Window on Eurasia – Paul Goble – Staunton, July 14, 2014) The Ukrainian government lacks the resources to recover Crimea, according to a Moscow military analyst, and could do so only if Russia were to “weaken to the point that it simply could not defend” the peninsula. Otherwise, talk about “the return of Crimea to

War from Below and the Warlords of Ukraine

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(Gordon M. Hahn – gordon-hahn@sbcglobal.net - Analyst and Advisory Board Member, Geostrategic Forecasting Corporation, Chicago, Ill., www.geostrategicforecasting.com. Analyst, Rus Strategic Ltd., Prague, Czech Rep., Senior Researcher, Center for Terrorism and Intelligence Studies, Akribis Group, San Jose, Calif.) Vladimir Lenin once quipped that the Bolsheviks “found power lying in the streets and simply picked it up” in

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