JRL NEWSWATCH: “Russia Tomorrow: Five scenarios for Russia’s future” – Atlantic Council: Casey Michel
“Briefly, the five scenarios … include:
- Putin’s continued rule
- Putin’s ouster, followed by the installation of a far-right, nationalistic figure or cadre
- Putin’s ouster, followed by a technocratic, if still largely antidemocratic, regime
- Putin’s ouster, followed by the rise of a liberal, thoroughly pro-Western government
- Russian Federation state fracture”
* * *
“… Scenario #1 Putin’s Russia survives
Scenario #2 Nationalists rise
Scenario #3 Technocrats reset
Scenario #4 Democracy triumphs
Scenario #5 The empire collapses …”