JRL NEWSWATCH: “Deaths in Poland Are a Warning for Everyone” – Foreign Policy

Map of Poland and Environs

“Errant missiles from Ukraine are a reminder that wars can always escalate accidentally.”

“If you think the risks of escalation in the Ukraine war are trivial, the tragic deaths of two Polish citizens from an errant Ukrainian air defense missile on Tuesday should give you some pause. … [E]ven if the adversaries are trying to be careful, big wars are messy affairs rife with uncertainty and … unintended consequences. Weapons malfunction, local commanders don’t always follow orders, and the fog of war makes it hard to discern what the enemy is doing and easy to misread their intentions. … If [the deadly Polish incident] reminds everyone that wars tend to escalate the longer they go on — and that escalation might have catastrophic results — the errant missile might incentivize leaders on both sides to try to shut down the conflict as soon as possible. If [not] … odds are that there will surely be another dangerous incident … and who knows what will happen the next time.”

Click here for: “Deaths in Poland Are a Warning for Everyone: Errant missiles from Ukraine are a reminder that wars can always escalate accidentally” – Foreign Policy/ Stephen M. Walt

Deaths in Poland Are a Warning for Everyone

 

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