RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#231 table of contents with links :: Thursday 6 November 2014

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[check back for updates, including more links; links also posted to facebook and twitter] Johnson’s Russia List JRL 2014-#231 :: Thursday 6 November 2014 E-Mail: davidjohnson@starpower.net A project of the Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies (IERES) at The George  Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs: www.ieres.org JRL homepage: russialist.org JRL on Facebook: facebook.com/russialist  JRL on Twitter: twitter.com/JohnsonRussiaLi Support JRL: russialist.org/funding.php  Ukraine 1. The National Interest: James Carden, Get Ready, World: Ukraine […]

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Interfax: Russian rights activist said denied entry into Ukraine

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(Interfax – Moscow, November 5, 2014) Rights activists have said that the Ukrainian authorities have barred activist of the Russian centre Memorial Vitaliy Ponomarev from entering Ukraine. “They told Vitaliy Ponomarev, a member of the council of the human rights centre Memorial, who arrived in Lviv on 4 November, that he had been barred from entering the country,” Memorial [press […]

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Specter of ‘Russian Taliban’ Looms in Ukraine

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(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Alexey Eremenko – November 6, 2014) Women in Ukraine’s separatist-held Luhansk region will be arrested if they are seen in cafes, an insurgent warlord has said. “A woman should be the keeper of the hearth, a mother,” Wraith Brigade commander Alexei Mozgovoi says in a video recently posted on YouTube. “If you want to be […]

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Ukraine Now Fighting Not for Donbas but for Its Survival as a State and Nation, Babchenko Says

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(Window on Eurasia – Paul Goble – Staunton, November 6, 2014) Even though some Western leaders cannot bring themselves to describe what Russia is doing in Ukraine as “an invasion,” Ukraine today is under a mortal threat, and according to Arkady Babchenko, Kyiv and the Ukrainian people are fighting not just to recover the Donbas and Crimea but for their […]

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RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#230 table of contents with links :: Wednesday 5 November 2014

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[check back for updates, including more links; links also posted to facebook and twitter] Johnson’s Russia List JRL 2014-#230 :: Wednesday 5 November 2014 E-Mail: davidjohnson@starpower.net A project of the Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies (IERES) at The George  Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs: www.ieres.org JRL homepage: russialist.org JRL on Facebook: facebook.com/russialist  JRL on Twitter: twitter.com/JohnsonRussiaLi Support JRL: russialist.org/funding.php  Ukraine 1. Global Times: Dmitri Trenin, West and Russia now in […]

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NEWSLINK: Mr. Putin resumes his chipping away at Ukraine

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[“Mr. Putin resumes his chipping away at Ukraine” – Washington Post editorial – Nov. 3, 2014] The Washington Post editors characterize unauthorized elections held by pro-Russia separatists in eastern Ukraine as another stage in Russian aggression: Russia has taken another significant step toward creating a puppet state inside Ukraine. Over the weekend the Moscow-controlled cities of Donetsk and Luhansk and nearby […]

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NEWSLINK: Ukraine PM says rebel-led regions will never receive funds from Kiev

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[“Ukraine PM says rebel-led regions will never receive funds from Kiev” – Reuters – Nov. 5, 2014] Reuters covers the aftermath in Ukraine of unauthorized would-be local or regional elections held by separatists, and Ukraine’s decision to cut off central government funding of Donetsk and Luhansk until the areas return to government control. Yatseniuk said the government would ordinarily have paid […]

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NEWSLINK: Ukraine peace plan in tatters, ‘frozen conflict’ takes shape

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[“Ukraine peace plan in tatters, ‘frozen conflict’ takes shape” – Reuters 11.5.14] Reuters covers the aftermath in Ukraine of unauthorized elections staged by pro-Russia separatists in parts of the Ukrainian east. Kiev said on Wednesday it would halt payment of state funds in areas controlled by pro-Moscow rebels, as both sides hardened positions in what is rapidly becoming a “frozen […]

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‘F’ Word Hangs Over Ukraine’s Rebel-Held Regions

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(RFE/RL – rferl.org – Carl Schreck – November 05, 2014) Ukraine has pledged to recapture them. Separatists vow to expand them. But even as hostilities rage on despite a shaky cease-fire, the areas in eastern Ukraine controlled by Russia-backed rebels appear to be drifting inexorably toward the “F” word, analysts say. “For the foreseeable future — let’s say at least […]

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A New Russian Offensive in Ukraine Would Cost Moscow More Casualties than USSR Suffered in Afghanistan

File Photo of Russian Military Conscripts Boarding Train with Gear

(Window on Eurasia – Paul Goble – Staunton, November 5, 2014) Ever more commentators are suggesting that a new round of Russian military aggression in Ukraine is likely in order to secure a Russian-controlled land corridor to Crimea, an action that some analysts say would cost Russia more killed and wounded than it has suffered in any conflict since World […]

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RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#229 table of contents with links :: Tuesday 4 November 2014

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… 8. Kyiv Post: Russia, West diverge sharply on ‘elections’ in Ukraine’s east.
9. RFE/RL: Five Takeaways From Eastern Ukraine’s Separatist Vote.
10. The National Interest: Katrina V. Negrouk, The Aftermath of Ukraine’s Elections: One Step Forward or Two Steps Back? ….

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Crime And Crimea: Criminals As Allies And Agents

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(RFE/RL – rferl.org – Mark Galeotti – November 3, 2014) Mark Galeotti is professor of global affairs at the Center for Global Affairs at New York University, an expert on Russia’s security services, and author of the blog “In Moscow’s Shadows” Mikhail Volkov is a cop in Moscow (up to a point) and Viktor Skvortsov is a criminal (of sorts), […]

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Five Takeaways From Eastern Ukraine’s Separatist Vote

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(RFE/RL – rferl.org – Glenn Kates – November 3, 2014) The elections held in eastern Ukraine by the pro-Russian separatists may not have been recognized by anyone but Russia, but that may be all that matters. Here are some more takeaways from the November 2 vote. Western nonrecognition is a moot point for separatists The November 2 elections in Ukraine’s […]

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RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#228 table of contents with links :: Monday 3 November 2014

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… 12. AP: Russia’s Top Radio Station Slapped by Government.
13. Reuters: Russia keeps oil output near high despite sanctions, low prices.
14. Wall Street Journal editorial: The Run on the Ruble. Sanctions and a strong dollar create currency woes for Putin. …

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Ukraine’s Revolutionary No. 1 Goes to Parliament

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(Bloomberg – bloomberg.com – Leonid Bershidsky – November 2, 2014) In the history of Ukraine’s Maidan revolution, which ousted President Viktor Yanukovich in February, Mustafa Nayyem deserves prominent mention. A year after the journalist’s Facebook post drew the first protesters to Kiev’s main square, he’s now a freshly elected member of parliament, conflicted about his role and struggling to find […]

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Ukraine’s Last Chance

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(Bloomberg – bloomberg.com – Leonid Bershidsky – October 30, 2014) Now that Ukraine’s electoral battles are over and the conflict in the country’s eastern regions is frozen, one of three scenarios could unfold: Quick and painful economic and regulatory surgery, a slide into Russia’s suffocating embrace, or chaos, as gangs of former volunteer fighters from the eastern war go on […]

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Putin’s Strategy in Ukraine – Sow Panic, Provoke, Invade and Then Repeat the Process

Vladimir Putin

(Window on Eurasia – Paul Goble – Staunton, November 3, 2014) Vladimir Putin has a very clear strategy in Ukraine: first, sow panic among Ukrainians and the West and then wait, then provoke Ukrainians into doing things that distance them from the West, and then wait; invade when both Ukrainians and the West are off balance; and then repeat the […]

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Interfax: Moscow ready to help launch dialogue between Kyiv and southeast Ukraine – top Russian diplomat

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MOSCOW. Nov 3 (Interfax) – Russia is prepared to do everything it can to help launch dialogue between Kyiv and representatives of Ukraine’s southeastern regions. “Today it is important to take active measures in order to ensure a sustainable dialogue between Kyiv and representatives of Donbas. And we are help in every possible way,” Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Grigory Karasin […]

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RIA Novosti: Kiev Claims to Observe Movement of Military Equipment, Troops From Russia to Donbas

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KIEV, November 2 (RIA Novosti) – Kiev has claimed to observe movement of military equipment and troops from Russia to the Donbas region, Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Council’s spokesperson Andriy Lysenko said in a statement Sunday, but failed to provide evidence. “The intensive movement of military equipment and troops from the territory of the Russian Federation to the territory […]

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RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#227 table of contents with links :: Sunday 2 November 2014

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… 22. RFE/RL: Can Lviv Mayor Change Ukrainian Politics Once And For All?
23. The American Interest: Steven Pifer, RUSSIA AND THE WEST. Taking Stock in Ukraine. Seven things to know about the crisis, Moscow’s and Kyiv’s actions, and the West’s response. …

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RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#226 table of contents with links :: Friday 31 October 2014

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… 37. The Economist: Russia and the West. Hard talk. What lies behind Vladimir Putin’s latest anti-American rant.
38. Institute of Modern Russia: Donald Jensen, A Cold Peace?
39. New York Times: Serge Schmemann, Blaming the West for Things Gone Wrong, Mr. Putin Sings an Old Tune.
40. Christian Science Monitor: Fred Weir, Russia’s flights over Europe: How much bark, how much bite? NATO says it has seen an ‘unusual level of air activity over European airspace,’ involving 19 Russian bombers and fighters on Wednesday alone. But the flights are more message than menace, experts say.
41. New York Times: New Russian Boldness Revives a Cold War Tradition: Testing the Other Side. …

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In Ukraine hope springs eternal

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(Business New Europe – bne.eu – CONFERENCE CALL: Ben Aris in Kyiv – October 31, 2014) Two days after a crucial parliamentary election that put the seal on Ukraine’s latest political transformation, SP Advisors, a leading local investment firm, held its first investment conference and invited international investors to Kyiv to debate the Eastern European country’s future. The mood at […]

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Russia, Ukraine and EU sign gas deal

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(Business New Europe –  bne.eu – October 31, 2014) Russia, Ukraine and the EU have signed a trilateral gas agreement securing the resumption of Russian gas supplies to Ukraine from November. The deal followed a total of 30 hours in talks continuing into the night of October 30, when the sides announced an agreement. Russian Energy Minister Aleksandr Novak, EU Energy Commissioner […]

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Business New Europe: New Lugansk governor says 80-95% of region pro-Russian

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(Business New Europe – bne.eu – October 31, 2014) The newly appointed governor of Lugansk, former interior minister Hennady Moskal, has said in an interview that 80-95% of the region is pro-Russian. With over half of the region including the eponymous capital held by Russian-backed rebels, Moskal is now administrating the region from the town of Severodonetsk. Moskal, a highly […]

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RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#225 table of contents with links :: Thursday 30 October 2014

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[check back for updates, including more links; links also posted to facebook and twitter] Johnson’s Russia List JRL 2014-#225 :: Thursday 30 October 2014 E-Mail: davidjohnson@starpower.net A project of the Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies (IERES) at The George  Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs: www.ieres.org JRL homepage: russialist.org JRL on Facebook: facebook.com/russialist  JRL on Twitter: twitter.com/JohnsonRussiaLi Support JRL: russialist.org/funding.php  Ukraine 1. Moscow Times: Fire Sweeps Through Kiev’s Oldest Movie Theater During […]

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Ukrainian GDP Plunges 5.1% Amid Deadly Conflict in Nation’s East

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(Bloomberg – bloomberg.com – Daryna Krasnolutska – October 30, 2014) Ukraine’s economy shrank 5.1 percent in the third quarter from a year earlier, the most in almost five years, as industrial production and the hryvnia slumped amid the bloody conflict in the country’s east. The drop is less than the 9 percent median estimate of six economists in a Bloomberg […]

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RIA Novosti: East Ukraine Demarcation Line Yet to Be Set: DPR Prime Minister

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NOVOAZOVSK (Ukraine), October 30 (RIA Novosti) – The self-proclaimed People’s Republic of Donetsk (DPR) will stipulate its own conditions on if it were to sign a demarcation line agreement with Kiev, DPR Prime Minister Alexander Zakharchenko said Thursday. “There will be new conditions [on the signing of the demarcation line agreement], ours. We consider the entire Donetsk region DPR territory,” […]

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Interfax: Separatist leader in Ukraine’s Donetsk says “preparing for war”

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(Interfax – October 29, 2014) Work on agreeing a new dividing line between militia forces and the Ukrainian army has been suspended on Kiev’s initiative, and now “we are preparing for war”, Oleksandr (Aleksandr) Zakharchenko, prime minister of the self-proclaimed Donetsk people’s republic (DPR) has said, as reported by privately-owned Russian news agency Interfax on 29 October. “Ukraine has announced […]

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RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#224 table of contents with links :: Wednesday 29 October 2014

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… 10. Business New Europe: Ben Aris, Ukraine to introduce sweeping tax reforms.
11. Bloomberg: Safe-Deposit Box Craze Lays Bare Ukraine Woes After Vote.
12. Reuters: Ukraine’s Yatseniuk sees himself staying on as prime minister.
13. www.opendemocracy.net: Natalia Antonova, Post-election, Ukrainians and Russians face an uncertain future. …

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Post-election, Ukrainians and Russians face an uncertain future

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(opendemocracy.net – Natalia Antonova – October 28, 2014) Natalia Antonova was born in Kyiv and grew up in North Carolina. She works as a journalist, playwright, and social media director at Russia Beyond the Headlines. Ukraine’s snap parliamentary elections have once again proven that the mainstream of society rejects the far right – not that the Russian government or media […]

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Business New Europe: Russia calls on EU to show money for Ukraine gas

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(Business New Europe – bne.eu – October 29, 2014) Russia’s ambassador to the EU Vladimir Chizhov called on the EU to show Russia it has the money to pay for Ukrainian gas, before Russia renews gas supplies to Ukraine, which were cut after a dispute over pricing and arrears. The EU is set to disburse nearly $1bn by the end […]

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Safe-Deposit Box Craze Lays Bare Ukraine Woes After Vote

File Photo of Cash, Coins, Line Graph

(Bloomberg – bloomberg.com – Daryna Krasnolutska – October 29, 2014) Wary of banks and alarmed by armed conflict around her parents’ town, Daria Demianenko joined Ukraine’s rush to an old-fashioned way of squirreling away cash. More commonly known as a home for fancy jewels and ill-gotten gains, safe-deposit boxes are swallowing a growing chunk of regular savings in Ukraine. For […]

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Interfax: Future Ukrainian government must adopt plan of country restoration for 2015-2017 by December 15 – draft coalition agreement

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KYIV. Oct 29 (Interfax) – The Ukrainian Cabinet of ministers to be formed after the establishment of a parliamentary coalition in the 8th Verkhovna Rada will have to draw up and adopt a plan for the restoration of the country by December 15, 2014, says a draft coalition agreement published on the Petro Poroshenko Bloc’s website on Wednesday morning. “The […]

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RIA Novosti: Kiev Withdraws From Delineation Agreement With East Ukraine: DPR

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DONETSK, October 29 (RIA Novosti) – Kiev has withdrawn from the delineation agreement it signed with Donetsk authorities without any explanation, the deputy prime minister of the self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) said Wednesday. “A delineation was agreed between the opposing forces, but Kiev recalled the signature of its representative, Gen. Dumanskiy, from the document without giving any reason,” Andrei […]

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RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#223 table of contents with links :: Tuesday 28 October 2014

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… 20. Kyiv Post: Opposition Bloc outperforms forecasts, expected to be fourth largest party.
21. Bloomberg: Putin Narrative of Abandoned Ukraine East Fueled by Vote.
22. RFE/RL: Ten Takeaways From Ukraine’s Vote. …

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Ten Takeaways From Ukraine’s Vote

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(RFE/RL – rferl.org – Glenn Kates – October 27, 2014) Ukrainians have voted in a new parliament for the first time since the Euromaidan protests ousted President Viktor Yanukovych and his pro-Russian government earlier this year. Here are some takeaways from the October 26 vote: The West-Russia divide is no longer relevant in parliament Since the collapse of the Soviet […]

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Putin Narrative of Abandoned Ukraine East Fueled by Vote

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(Bloomberg – bloomberg.com – Daryna Krasnolutska – October 27, 2014) Vladimir Putin may have more ammunition to extend his influence over the Ukraine’s war-torn east after the country’s parliamentary election. A surge in support for pro-European parties leaves the area, the bedrock of ousted leader Viktor Yanukovych’s popularity, with less of a say in the nation’s future. Parties backing President […]

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RIA Novosti: Ukraine’s Elections Sealed Minsk Agreement’s Fate, Make Country Easier to Govern: Analysts

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MOSCOW, October 28 (RIA Novosti), Daria Chernyshova – Ukraine’s snap parliamentary elections were a referendum on whether to support the Minsk agreements and give autonomy to Donbas or not and are expected to make the country easier to govern, experts told RIA Novosti on Tuesday. “This election was a referendum on the dominant political issue of the day, which is […]

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Business New Europe: Russia will recognise rebel elections to be held in east Ukraine

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(Business New Europe – bne.eu – October 28, 2014) Russia will recognize elections to be held by rebels in Ukraine’s Donbass region on November 2, Russia’s foreign minister, Sergei Lavrov, told newspaper Izvestiya in an interview. The move will likely worsen Russia’s already strained relations with the West, which has demanded that Russia withdraw support for the rebels and assist […]

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NEWSLINK: Taking Measure Of The Ukrainian Mind-Set

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[“Taking Measure Of The Ukrainian Mind-Set” – RFE/RL – rferl.org – October 25, 2014] Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty interviewed Kiev-based sociologist Iryna Bekeshkyna about unfolding conditions in Ukraine, back on the eve of recent national legislative elections: How have Ukrainian attitudes toward the EU, Russia, and NATO changed? Is it possible to conduct opinion polls in the Donbas? And why is […]

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NEWSLINK: In eastern Ukraine, most voters dream only of peace

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[“In eastern Ukraine, most voters dream only of peace” – Reuters – Thomas Grove – Oct. 26, 2014] Reuters covers hopes in eastern Ukraine for an end to conflict, amidst recent national legislative elections, even as separatist-dominated areas failed to participate. Voters in eastern Ukraine had one thing on their mind as they voted in Sunday’s parliamentary election: an end […]

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NEWSLINK: In Ukraine’s East, Low Voter Turnout in Election Signals Kiev’s Challenges

Ukraine Map and Flag

[“In Ukraine’s East, Low Voter Turnout in Election Signals Kiev’s Challenges; Wary of Poroshenko’s Government, Few Voters Head to Polls in Eastern Town Controlled by Kiev” – Wall Street Journal – James Marson – October 27, 2014] The Wall Street Journal covers unfolding circumstances in Ukraine’s east, including issues over participation in recent legislative elections: * * * The lack of […]

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NEWSLINK: Ukraine leader wins pro-West mandate but wary of Russia

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[“Ukraine leader wins pro-West mandate but wary of Russia” – Reuters – Richard Balmforth and Timothy Heritage – KIEV, Oct 27, 2014]  Reuters covers Ukrainian legislative elections that favored West-leaning Ukrainian Presidenti Petro Poroshenko: Pro-Western parties will dominate Ukraine’s parliament after an election handed President Petro Poroshenko a mandate to end a separatist conflict and steer the country further out […]

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NEWSLINK: Alleged Russian intelligence agent caught outside Kyiv claiming to be FSB general

Stylized Artist's Depiction of Shadowy Figures in Dark Coats and Dark Hats, One Carrying a Briefcase

[“Alleged Russian intelligence agent caught outside Kyiv claiming to be FSB general (PHOTOS)” – Kyiv Post – October 24, 2014] The Kiev Post covers reports that Ukraine captured a Russian operative connected with Ukrainian separatists, posing as a journalist: Ukraine’s State Security Service (SBU) says on Oct. 23 it apprehended a high-level Russian intelligence agent and a commissioned military officer […]

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Business New Europe: Ukraine’s bad start

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(Business New Europe – bne.eu – Ben Aris in Moscow – October 24, 2014) This weekend’s crucial parliamentary elections in Ukraine could mark the end of two decades of failure and the launch of the country’s attempt to catch-up with the rest of the region. The trouble is that Ukraine is already off to a really bad start. There has […]

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RIA Novosti: Ukraine Elections Offer Hope for Overcoming Crisis: Russian Human Rights Council’s Head

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MOSCOW, October 27 (RIA Novosti) – The Ukrainian parliamentary elections went ahead according to Ukrainian law, which raises hope that the country could return to normal, the head of Russia’s Presidential Council for Civil Society and Human Rights Mikhail Fedotov said Monday. “As far as it can be judged from media reports, the elections were held normally. This raises hope […]

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RIA Novosti: Lavrov: Moscow Recognizes Parliamentary Election Results in Ukraine

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MOSCOW, October 27 (RIA Novosti) – Moscow considers the parliamentary elections in Ukraine as complete and is ready to recognize their results, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said Monday. “It seems that these elections are complete, though not throughout the entire territory of Ukraine. I believe we will recognize these elections because it’s important for us that a power in […]

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RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#222 table of contents with links :: Monday 27 October 2014

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… 12. Wall Street Journal: In Ukraine’s East, Low Voter Turnout in Election Signals Kiev’s Challenges. Wary of Poroshenko’s Government, Few Voters Head to Polls in Eastern Town Controlled by Kiev.
13. Reuters: In eastern Ukraine, most voters dream only of peace.
14. Kyiv Post: Peace elusive for voters in Sloviansk district. …

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RIA Novosti: Donetsk People’s Republic Hopes to Free Part of Donbas by End of November: Prime Minister

Ukraine Map and Flag

DONETSK, October 23 (RIA Novosti) – TheDonetsk militias will free from the Ukrainian government forces the outskirts of the village of Yelenovka in Donetsk’s Volnovakha region by the end of November, Donetsk People’s Republic’s (DPR) Prime Minister Aleksander Zakharchenko said Thursday. “This is our land, our city. It’s not likely we will enter there in the near future, but I […]

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Ukraine’s parliamentary elections could pave way for new constitution

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(Business New Europe – bne.eu – Graham Stack in Kyiv – October 24, 2014) Ukraine is to go to the polls on October 26 in early elections likely to give forces supporting President Petro Poroshenko a strong majority in the parliament, paving the way for sweeping constitutional reform. “This should be a constitutional majority,” said Poroshenko, out campaigning in the […]

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