JRL NEWSWATCH: “Tatiana Stanovaya explains why Putin won’t go like Nazarbayev” – Meduza

Kremlin and River

“… Tatiana Stanovaya says Kazakhstani President Nursultan Nazarbayev’s resignation won’t likely affect … Putin’s transition-of-power calculus in the way that many observers have speculated. She argues that Kazakhstan’s unique political traditions, elite structure, and society, not to mention the country’s fundamentally different geopolitical conditions, mean that Nursultan Nazarbayev file photoNazarbayev’s exit doesn’t work as a model for Putin, though the Kremlin will pay close attention to the response from local elites. * * * … What about a collapse of the Putin regime at home? … It’s unlikely that Putin believes the Russian political system would collapse in his absence, which means he won’t resort to radical reforms before leaving politics. … come 2024, the president will probably either amend his term limits or embark on another, new and improved tandem rule. … reforms to the Constitution will be minimal, unlike in Kazakhstan.”Dmitry Medvedev and Vladimir Putin file photo

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