JRL NEWSWATCH: “The West must choose: Either arm Ukraine or enable Putin’s genocide” – Atlantic Council

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

“… It is becoming increasingly apparent that Putin’s invasion force has committed war crimes … echo[ing] the worst excesses of the totalitarian twentieth century. … reveal[ing] the genocidal intent at the heart of Putin’s Ukraine War. … bestial carnage point[ing] to a premeditated plan of extermination. Dead bodies lie strewn throughout the streets, many with … hands bound. Victims are […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Putin’s Pyrrhic Victory: Russia’s Setbacks in Eastern Ukraine Show Why It Can’t Win the Wider War” – Foreign Affairs

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

“As the terrible destruction of Mariupol, Volnovakha, Severodonetsk, Rubizhne, and other eastern cities shows, Putin is determined to subjugate the Donbas even if that means slaughtering ostensibly pro-Russian eastern Ukrainians and torching what remains of Russia’s soft power …. stak[ing] his credibility on the Donbas … seem[ingly] determined to rule its smoking ruins rather than admit the insane folly of […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Russia pulls back from battered Kyiv region in major shift of war to east” – Washington Post

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

“Five weeks after Russian troops hurtled into the country in the hope of swiftly seizing the capital, installing a friendly government and subjugating Ukraine, the Russian military appears to be shrinking its goals to prioritize the east, redeploying forces that had been destined for the Kyiv region and attempting to organize reinforcements to compensate for the thousands of troops that […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Peace in Ukraine will be elusive until one side makes a military breakthrough” – Financial Times

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

“Neither has the incentive to commit to a long-term settlement without a clearer view on the likely course of the war.” “… For now neither side has an incentive to commit to a long-term settlement. … waiting for military breakthroughs and a clearer view on the likely course of the war. Should the prospect be one of a long stalemate, […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Ukraine Strikes Inside Russian Territory, Russians Say” – WSJ

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

“Offensive maneuver comes as Russian forces regroup and Ukrainian troops press forward around Kyiv.” “Ukrainian attack helicopters executed a low-flying predawn raid on Russian territory, a Russian official said, eluding air defenses to strike an oil depot …. Security-camera footage released by Russian state-owned media … appeared to show several missiles firing at the depot and setting off explosions. Vyacheslav […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “White House: Intel shows Putin misled by advisers on Ukraine” – AP

Tower and Building Inside Kremlin

“U.S. intelligence … [reportedly] ha[s] determined that … Putin is being misinformed by advisers about his military’s poor performance in Ukraine …. The advisers are scared to tell him the truth …. The findings … indicate that Putin is aware of the situation on information coming to him and there now is persistent tension between him and senior Russian military […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “The Ukraine War Is Over But the Biden Administration Hasn’t Noticed” – Newsweek

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

“Russia’s armed forces are reaching a state of exhaustion, stalemated on the battlefield and unable to make additional gains … Ukraine is slowly pushing them back, continuing to inflict destruction on the invaders. After a month of intense fighting, the stalemate has forced the Kremlin to consider a Ukrainian proposal that ends the fighting short of annihilation, opening up the […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “How Ukraine could lose land but still win the war with Russia” – Washington Post

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

“… fierce Ukrainian resistance is … turning the tide against a superior Russian force [][with] [o]bservers … whispering the once unthinkable — that Ukraine might win. But what would victory look like? Even in triumph, would Ukraine emerge whole? The risk of the Kremlin achieving its apparent initial objective — … decapitation of the Ukrainian government and the complete subjection […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “#PutinsWar: The invasion of Ukraine is not the first social media war, but it is the most viral; Ukraine is the most wired country ever to be invaded” – The Economist

File Image of Laptop Computer, Tables and Mobile Device, adapted from image at energy.gov

“… Ukraine has become the most vivid example yet of how social media are changing the way that war is chronicled, experienced and understood, and how that, in turn, can change the course of a war itself. … Online chatter can spur rapid shifts in public opinion …. Posts on social networks have become a crucial source of information for […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Russia no longer requesting Ukraine be ‘denazified’ as part of ceasefire talks; Requests include Kyiv dropping NATO pursuit in exchange for security guarantees and EU membership” – Financial Times

EU Map adapted from cia.gov image

“Russia [reportedly] is no longer requesting Ukraine be ‘denazified’ and is prepared to let Kyiv join the EU if it remains militarily non-aligned …. Russia and Ukraine] [reportedly] are discussing a pause in hostilities as part of a possible deal that would involve Ukraine abandoning its drive for NATO membership in exchange for security guarantees and the prospect of joining […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Ukraine Proposes Neutral Status With Guarantees, but Zelensky Calls for More Western Help” – WSJ

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

“Cease-fire talks end inconclusively, while Ukraine’s president lambasts timidity of EU governments over sanctions on Russia.” “Ukraine outlined its proposal for accepting a neutral status … during cease-fire talks with Russia … Tuesday, demanding binding security guarantees from the U.S. and some European countries, while the five-week-old Russian war on Ukraine raged on …. [N]egotiations … in Istanbul over … […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Over Half of Americans Say U.S. Will Be — or Is — at War With Russia: Poll” – Newsweek

File Photo of American Tank in Germany with Purple Smoke, adapted from defense.gov image with photo credit to Markus Rauchenberger, U.S. Army

“… Biden has repeatedly asserted that the U.S. does not plan to send troops to assist Ukraine …. [but] [n]ew polling released [March 27] … by NBC … shows … 57 percent of respondents believe the U.S. is already at war with Russia, or … will be within the next year. Of those, 41 percent believe the U.S. is on […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Zelenskyy says willing to discuss Russia’s neutrality demand; President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s remarks come ahead of a new round of in-person Russia-Ukraine talks.” – Al Jazeera

Screenshot file photo of Volodymyr Zelensky Gesturing, from Congressional Teleconference, adapted from image at doggett.house.gov

“… Zelenskyy has said that Ukraine is prepared to discuss adopting a neutral status as part of a peace deal with Russia, but the move would have to be guaranteed by third parties and put to a referendum. … Zelenskyy … [spoke in Russian] to Russian journalists in a video call … published by local media … Sunday, despite Moscow’s […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “The elements of a peace deal in Ukraine are clear — but the two sides can’t get there yet” – Los Angeles Times

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

“… Russia’s huge but incompetent army has been stymied in its attempts to seize … Kyiv[] and other cities. Ukraine’s defenders have put up a heroic fight, but civilians in besieged towns are suffering a terrible toll. …. Each side thinks it still has a chance to outlast the other. … [Yet] officials from both countries have suggested possible compromises. […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “West cranks up costs for Russia as war enters second month” – AP

NATO Meeting file photo

“… Opening the NATO summit, Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said the alliance is ‘determined to continue to impose costs on Russia to bring about the end of this brutal war.’ …. [I]nstead of swiftly toppling Ukraine’s government, [Russia’s] forces are bogged down in a grinding military campaign and its economy is laboring under punishing international sanctions. … [I]n many areas, Ukrainian […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “‘The only thing Putin understands is strength;’ U.S. aircraft carrier flexes muscle in the Med” – Politico

File Photo of Aircraft Carrier U.S.S. Harry S Truman and Accompanying Warships, adapted from image at usa.gov (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Bela Chambers)

“With Russian ships and submarines patrolling the Mediterranean, the USS Truman teams up with French and Italian carriers.” “… [T]he USS Truman’s strike group [is] now in the northern Ionian Sea, its fighter jets and radar planes patrolling NATO’s eastern borders and looking east[] to … Ukraine …. Since the [Russian] invasion almost a month ago … these jets have […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “China and Russia’s military relationship likely to deepen with Ukraine war” – Washington Post

File Photo of Beijing Temple, adapted from image at lbl.gov

“… Regardless of whether China becomes directly involved in … Putin’s invasion of Ukraine, the conflict is shaping up to be an important milestone …. Just as Western sanctions [over Crimea] gave Russia’s military industrial complex new impetus to sell technology to the People’s Liberation Army, the Kremlin’s reliance on China after its Ukraine invasion could accelerate nascent joint technology […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “How to Make Peace With Putin; The West Must Move Quickly to End the War in Ukraine” – Foreign Affairs/ Thomas Graham, Rajan Menon

European Portion of Commonwealth of Independent States

“… Western arms flowing into Ukraine will increase Russia’s already substantial losses … but Putin appears prepared to accept the cost …. [T]oppling [Putin] would not necessarily end [the war]. A popular uprising … is unlikely; the Russian state has formidable means of repression …. [After] a palace coup, a new leader could be more willing to talk but … […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “For the U.S., a Tenuous Balance in Confronting Russia” – New York Times

File Photo of White House with South Lawn and Fountain

“Navigating between aiding Ukraine and avoiding an escalation with Moscow has led to a tangle of decisions and sometimes tortured distinctions over weapons and other elements of policy.” “… [T]he tenuous balance the Biden administration has tried to maintain as it seeks to help Ukraine lock Russia in a quagmire without inciting a broader conflict … or … cutting off […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Pentagon’s Work With Ukraine’s Biological Facilities Becomes Flashpoint in Russia’s Information War” – WSJ

European Portion of Commonwealth of Independent States

“Moscow falsely accuses U.S. of funding biowarfare in Ukraine despite Kremlin once benefiting from Pentagon program.” “… A decades-old Pentagon program that was used to secure biological weapons across the former Soviet Union [] and to build trust …. has instead become a new flashpoint in an information war … [following] Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Moscow has accused the Pentagon […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Maria Stepanova: The war of Putin’s imagination” – Financial Times

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

“… The aggressor in this unjust war in a foreign territory, with its war crimes and its victims … operates as if he’s making a piece of art, a book or a film, in which the events are controlled by their creator. But this particular book has a bad author. Bad in all senses, as a person and as a […]

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RUSSIALINK: “‘My Father Said I’m a Traitor Who Should Be Shot First’: War in Ukraine Splits Russian Families” – Moscow Times

European Portion of Commonwealth of Independent States

(Moscow Times – James Beardsworth – March 15, 2022) Vladimir Miroshnik hasn’t spoken to his father since March 1, a week into Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Their relationship, already strained by their opposing political views, reached a breaking point when Vladimir noticed his father becoming increasingly aggressive toward his son’s opposition to the war. “I stopped speaking to my father […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Ukraine, Russia resume talks as fighting nears Kyiv” – AP

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

“Russian and Ukrainian negotiators held a new round of talks on Monday, even as Russia’s military forces kept up their punishing campaign to capture Ukraine’s capital with fighting and artillery fire in Kyiv’s suburbs. … [A]n airstrike on a military base near the Polish border brought the war dangerously close to NATO’s doorstep …. The negotiations taking place by video […]

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Is a Ceasefire Agreement Possible? A Negotiation Analysis of the Russia-Ukraine War

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

(Russia Matters – russiamatters.org – Arvid Bell, Dana Wolf – March 12, 2022) Arvid Bell is a lecturer on government at Harvard University and the director of the Negotiation Task Force (NTF) at the Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies. Dana Wolf is an assistant professor and head of the Law and Security Program at the Lauder School of Government, Diplomacy and Strategy […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Vladimir Putin’s dictatorship; The Stalinisation of Russia; As it sinks in that he cannot win in Ukraine, Vladimir Putin is resorting to repression at home” – The Economist

Kremlin and River

“… Putin ordered the invasion of Ukraine … dream[ing] of restoring the glory of the Russian empire. … [but] ended up restoring the terror of Josef Stalin. … [H]e has unleashed the most violent act of unprovoked aggression in Europe since 1939 … [and] … is turning himself into … a 21st-century Stalin [at home], resorting as never before to […]

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President Putin’s Rationality and Escalation in Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo – Kimberly Marten – March 9, 2022) Kimberly Marten is Professor of Political Science at Barnard College, Columbia University. Prominent Western policy figures, including British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, Canada’s United Nations Ambassador Bob Rae, and retired U.S. National Security Advisor General H. R. McMaster, have recently questioned whether Russian President Vladimir Putin has become “irrational.” […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Ukrainians Find That Relatives in Russia Don’t Believe It’s a War” – New York Times

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

“Many Ukrainians are encountering a confounding and frustrating backlash from family members in Russia who have bought into the official Kremlin messaging.” “… As Ukrainians deal with the devastation of the Russian attacks in their homeland, many are also encountering a confounding and almost surreal backlash from family members in Russia, who refuse to believe that Russian soldiers could bomb […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Why Putin needs to watch his back” – Washington Post

Kremlin and River

“No matter … the outcome … Putin’s war on Ukraine spells bad news for his regime. Neither taking Kyiv and declaring victory nor beginning peace negotiations will save the Russian president from the serious, if not fatal, domestic repercussions …. As the war drags on, the danger to Putin’s reign will come chiefly from three quarters: the oligarchs, the military […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Russia’s Plan C … And Plan D …” – Lawrence Freedman

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

“As the Russo-Ukrainian War takes a darker turn it is important to emphasise … [that] [t]his is a war that … Putin cannot win, however long … and however cruel his methods. … [T]he Russian campaign has been hampered by political objectives that cannot be translated into meaningful military objectives. Putin[‘s] … mythical Ukraine, a product of a fevered imagination […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Ukraine invasion: Kremlin policy adviser reveals his shock over Vladimir Putin’s decision to invade” – Sky News

Tower and Building Inside Kremlin

“Andrey Kortunov has been on the news defending the Kremlin’s actions in the past – but Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has left him wondering what his president was thinking.” “… Kortunov is on a panel of foreign policy experts who advise the Kremlin. Their briefing papers would have been read by … Putin, but [Putin’s] more moderate counsel have been […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Putin’s nightmare is becoming a reality” – The Spectator

“‘Those he commands move only in command, nothing in love’. … I remembered [Shakespeare’s] words about Macbeth as I watched a shifty … Putin force the members of his Security Council to bob up and down … tremulously affirm[ing] … support for his wise policy on Ukraine. … [E]nforced compliance among Russian’s politicians has continued in the days since, as […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “I See Three Scenarios for How This War Ends” – New York Times

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

“… Every day … Putin refuses to stop we get closer to the gates of hell. … Putin doesn’t have the ability to install a puppet… and just leave him …. Russia [would] need[] to permanently station tens of thousands of troops … [with] Ukrainians … shooting at them [daily]. … [A]s Putin warned … before putting his nuclear force […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Russia’s Navalny calls Putin insane and urges anti-war protests” – Reuters

File Photo of Alexei Navalny Marching on Street with Others in Background; adapted from image at commons.wikimedia.org with credit to Evgeny Feldman, subject to Creative Commons license; original image at commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:FEV_1795_(cropped1).jpg, with license information at creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/deed.en and creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/legalcode

“Jailed Kremlin critic Alexei Navalny has called on Russians to stage daily protests against Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine, depicting … Putin as an ‘obviously insane tsar.’ Navalny called for protests across the country and abroad to signal that not all Russians support the war and show solidarity with the thousands of people detained in anti-war protests in Russia …. Navalny […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “As war in Ukraine rages, Russians look on with increasing dismay” – Christian Science Monitor/ Fred Weir

European Portion of Commonwealth of Independent States

“The war in Ukraine may have come at a high cost for Vladimir Putin at home. The backlash against the conflict suggests a moral split and loss of trust between the Russian public and its leadership.” “… despite the fog of war and a deepening crackdown on civil society, surprising numbers of Russians are expressing shock at and even outright […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Biden has been presented with options for massive cyberattacks against Russia” – NBC

File Image of Stylized Eye Surrounded by Binary Code

“The options presented include disrupting the internet across Russia, shutting off power and stopping trains in their tracks.” “… Biden [reportedly] has been presented … options … to carry out massive cyberattacks … to disrupt Russia’s ability to sustain … military operations in Ukraine …. U.S. intelligence and military cyber warriors are proposing the use of American cyberweapons on a […]

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Dazed And Deluded: As Putin Launches Invasion Of Ukraine, Russian Society Reels

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

(Article text ©2022 RFE/RL, Inc., Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty – rferl.org – Robert Coalson – Feb. 24, 2022 – article text also appeared at rferl.org/a/russian-public-war-ukraine-beliefs/31720800.html) Russians awoke on the morning of February 24, like the rest of the world, to news that their country had invaded Ukraine, a neighboring country to which millions of Russians have close personal ties. The […]

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RUSSIALINK: “Navalny Calls Ukraine War ‘Distraction’ From Russia’s Problems” – Moscow Times

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

“I think this war is designed to divert attention from Russia’s problems, and it will only lead to greater impoverishment …. I consider those who unleashed this war to be bandits and thieves. I went into politics to fight this criminal regime of thieves.” […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Russia-Ukraine conflict raises big risks for global economy” – AP

Satellite Image of Earth in Style of Mercator Map, adapted from image at nasa.gov

“Just what a vulnerable world economy didn’t need — a conflict that accelerates inflation, rattles markets and portends trouble for everyone from European consumers to indebted Chinese developers and families in Africa that face soaring food prices. Russia’s attack on Ukraine …. threatens to inflict severe economic damage …. Russia is the world’s third-biggest [petroleum] producer … and … a […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Many Russians Feel a Deep Unease Over Going to War” – New York Times

European Portion of Commonwealth of Independent States

“After months of tuning out American warnings that Vladimir Putin was preparing to invade Ukraine, Russians now realize that ‘this is not a game.’” “… after several television appearances by [] Putin stunned and scared some longtime observers, that [previous] sense of casual disregard turned to a deep unease. … Russia has not seen any of the jubilation that accompanied […]

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Background Press Call by a Senior Administration Official on Russia Sanctions

Portion of U.S. Treasury Department Building Facade, North Side, with Sculpture of Alexander Hamilton

(The White House – Feb. 22, 2022 – whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/press-briefings/2022/02/22/background-press-call-by-a-senior-administration-official-on-russia-sanctions/) MODERATOR: Thank you. And thanks, everyone, for joining today. So, as a reminder, this call is on background, attributable to a “senior administration official,” and the contents of this call are embargoed until the end of the call. For your awareness but not for reporting, the speaker on the call is […]

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RUSSIALINK: “Kyiv Calls for Nationwide Emergency, Urges Ukrainians to Leave Russia ‘Immediately’” – Moscow Times

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Feb. 23, 2022) Ukraine has announced a nationwide emergency and told its citizens to leave Russia immediately, pointing to the threat of a Russian invasion. The announcements come after Russian President Vladimir Putin recognized eastern Ukraine’s two breakaway territories and ordered Russian troops to “maintain peace” there. Ukraine’s national security and defense council announced a […]

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RUSSIALINK: “‘Words Good, Acts Even Better’: World Reacts to Russia’s De-Escalation Signals” – Moscow Times

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Feb. 16, 2022) Russian President Vladimir Putin said that he was “ready” to work with the West to de-escalate tensions over Ukraine following talks with Germany Chancellor Olaf Scholz on Tuesday. The statement came hours after Russia announced that it was pulling back some of its 100,000 troops on Ukraine’s border to their bases following […]

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JRL NEWSWATCH: “Russia Says Some Troops Pulling Back From Ukraine Border but Exercises Continue” – WSJ

Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

“Mixed military signals from Moscow come as Germany’s chancellor arrives for talks with Putin.” “Russia’s Defense Ministry said it … pulled back some troops from near Ukraine while noting that large-scale military maneuvers were continuing … Western officials warned that combat units were moving into forward positions. … [Russia’s] total force … is still estimated to number more than 120,000 […]

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