Ukraine to increase military expenditure fivefold by 2020 – Kiev

Maidan Square file photo

(Interfax – September 29, 2014) The reform program Strategy 2020 provides that Ukraine should become “a military state,” increasing its military expenditures from 1 percent of the GDP to 5 percent, Dmytro Shimkiv, deputy head of the Ukrainian presidential administration, said. “We are operating under the assumption that Ukraine should become a military state,” he said at a public debate […]

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U.S.-Russia Cycle of One-Upmanship Could Prove Catastrophic

File Photo of Vladimir Putin and Barack Obama Seated Before Russian and U.S. Flags

(Moscow Times editorial – themoscowtimes.com – September 29, 2014) The Ukraine crisis has sparked a resurgence of one-upmanship in U.S.-Russian relations, unparalleled since the height of the Cold War, that – if left unchecked – could take a truly catastrophic turn. After the Maidan movement brought an end to Viktor Yanukovych’s reign in Kiev, Russia accused the West of having […]

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RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#202 table of contents with links :: Thursday 25 September 2014

St. Basil's file photo

[check back for updates, including more links; links also posted to facebook and twitter] Johnson’s Russia List JRL 2014-#202 :: Thursday 25 September 2014 E-Mail: davidjohnson@starpower.net A project of the Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies (IERES) at The George  Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs: www.ieres.org JRL homepage: russialist.org JRL on Facebook: facebook.com/russialist  JRL on Twitter: twitter.com/JohnsonRussiaLi Support JRL: russialist.org/funding.php 4 DJ: This is likely the last issue of vacation JRL until […]

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Russians’ Greatest Fears Coming True, Undermining Stability, Gontmakher Says

Kremlin and Saint Basil's File Photo

(Window on Eurasia – Paul Goble – Staunton, September 24, 2014) The eight developments Russians identified as of their greatest fears are all coming true, and that pattern regardless of what else happens undermines the stability of Russian society and the Russian state, according to Moscow economist and commentator Yevgeny Gontmakher. In August, Russians were asked by Levada Center pollsters […]

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Business New Europe: Russia has eager new oil and gas customers in Asia

Gas Facility file photo

(Business New Europe – bne.eu – Chris Weafer of Macro-Advisory – September 25, 2014) Chris Weafer is Senior Partner at Macro-Advisory, which offers bespoke Russia-CIS consulting. The main focus of Western sanctions against Russia has been to cause disruption to the banking and oil sectors. The former has directly squeezed the availability of liquidity on the domestic interbank market and […]

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Stagnation looms for Russia as consumption and oil revenues fall

(Business New Europe – bne.eu – September 25, 2014) Consumer demand in Russia, around half of its $2 trillion economy, and the key growth driver over recent years, is stalling over the crisis in Ukraine, according to a World Bank analysis of the economy. Consumption growth will slow to 0.5% in 2015 and 0.6% in 2016, down from around 2% […]

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RIA Novosti: Russia Sends List of Unanswered Questions to MH17 Investigators

Ukraine Air Crash Scene with Uniformed Security Personnel, Flames, Smoke

MOSCOW, September 25 (RIA Novosti) – Russian Federal Air Transport Agency (Rosaviatsiya) said Thursday it had sent a list of questions about the crash of Malaysia Airlines flight MH17 in Ukraine to an international panel investigating the disaster. “Oleg Storchevoi, a deputy head of Rosaviatsiya and Russia’s envoy to the investigation into circumstances and causes of the Malaysia Airlines Boeing-777 […]

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RIA Novosti: Putin Called Top Moral Authority Among Russian Celebrities: Opinion Poll

File Photo of Vladimir Putin at Outdoor Rally with Microphone in Hand and Heavy Coat

MOSCOW, September 24 (RIA Novosti) – Two thirds of Russians say that some of the country’s famous citizens can be considered as moral authorities, and 36 percent of them believe President Vladimir Putin is taking the lead , a poll by the Public Opinion Fund reported Wednesday. Around 60 percent of respondents believed that there were people who inspire respect […]

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RIA Novosti: Russian Envoy Slams Ukrainian Prime Minister’s Address to UN Assembly

UN Building file photo

UNITED NATIONS, September 25 (RIA Novosti) – Russia’s Ambassador to the United Nations Vitaly Churkin has criticized the speech delivered by Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk to the UN General Assembly. “It is strange that the Ukrainian prime minister, instead of resolving the numerous problems of his country, which is approaching an economic collapse, has headed to New York to […]

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Reflections on Russians and Ukrainians

Maidan Square file photo

From: Kirk Bennett (kirkbennett7@yahoo.com) Date: September 24, 2014 Subject: Reflections on Russians and Ukrainians Kirk Bennett is a former Foreign Service officer who served in both Moscow and Kyiv. The opinions expressed are his own and do not represent the views of the U.S. government. Amid all the analyses of the crisis in Ukraine there is a subtle element of […]

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[Ira Straus on Ukraine, NATO] re JRL-2014#201 (Adomanis)

NATO meeting file photo

From: Ira Straus (IRASTRAUS@aol.com Subject: re JRL-2014#201 (Adomanis) Date: Sept 23, 2014 Re: 11. Forbes.com: Mark Adomanis, Ukrainians Still Don’t Want To Join NATO. It is disappointing to see such a misleading article, from one of the few pro-Russia writers still around who has generally been accurate and had a grasp of reality. The article actually does not say anything […]

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RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#201 table of contents with links :: Tuesday 23 September 2014

St. Basil's file photo

[check back for updates, including more links; links also posted to facebook and twitter] Johnson’s Russia List JRL 2014-#201 :: Tuesday 23 September 2014 E-Mail: davidjohnson@starpower.net A project of the Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies (IERES) at The George  Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs: www.ieres.org JRL homepage: russialist.org JRL on Facebook: facebook.com/russialist  JRL on Twitter: twitter.com/JohnsonRussiaLi Support JRL: russialist.org/funding.php 4 DJ: Another quicky JRL. Brought to you from Positano. 1. Russia Beyond […]

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A lasting ceasefire, temporary sanctions

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Business New Europe – bne.eu – INVISIBLE HAND – Liam Halligan in London – September 23, 2014) The partial ceasefire in Donbass and Lugansk has done little to ease the East-West information war and diplomatic argy-bargy relating to Russia and Ukraine. If anything, the rhetorical exchanges have become testier during September, with the EU and US expanding their sanctions programme, even though […]

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Ukrainian Leaders Walk Away From Law on Self-Administration in Occupied Territories

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Eurasia Daily Monitor: Volume 11, Issue 167 – Jamestown Foundation – jamestown.org – Vladimir Socor – September 23, 2014) Utter confusion surrounds Ukraine’s just-adopted law on the “special procedure of local self-administration in individual districts in the Donetsk and Luhansk provinces.” Pursuant to the September 5 ceasefire protocol, President Petro Poroshenko initiated this law, his administration drafted it, and the parliament adopted it on […]

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RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#200 table of contents with links :: Sunday 21 September 2014

St. Basil's file photo

… 21. The Economist: Win some, lose more. For all the celebrations in Kiev over ratifying the trade deal with Europe, it is the Russians who got most of what they wanted.
22. Euromaidan Press: Lilia Shevtsova: Putin “is looking for new ways to strangle Ukraine.”
23. Paul Goble: Window on Eurasia: If Putin Isn’t Stopped in Ukraine, He Will Move against Baltic Countries, Piontkovsky Says. …

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WHITE HOUSE TRANSCRIPT: Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko and U.S. President Barack Obama in the Oval Office on Sept. 18

White House

(White House – September 18, 2014) PRESIDENT OBAMA: Well, it is a great pleasure to welcome President Poroshenko to the Oval Office. He and I have been working together a lot over the last several months. And as I told him personally, and I want to repeat publicly, I think his leadership has been absolutely critical at a very, very […]

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If Putin Isn’t Stopped in Ukraine, He Will Move against Baltic Countries, Piontkovsky Says

Map of Commonwealth of Independent States, European Portion

(Window on Eurasia – Paul Goble – Staunton, September 20, 2014) If the West does not stop Vladimir Putin’s campaign to subordinate Ukraine to Moscow, then the Kremlin leader will move against the Baltic countries even though that carries with it the direct threat of a military conflict with NATO, according to Andrey Piontkovsky. But if Putin and his concept […]

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RIA Novosti: Parties at Minsk Talks Agree on Memorandum Regulating Ukrainian Ceasefire Implementation

Ukraine Map and Flag

MINSK, September 20 (RIA Novosti) – Kiev authorities and pro-independence fighters in southeastern Ukraine have agreed on complete ceasefire, establishment of the buffer zone, withdrawal of heavy weapons away from the contact line on both sides, and deployment of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) monitoring mission. Early Saturday morning parties at the talks in Minsk – […]

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RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#199 table of contents with links :: Wednesday 10 September 2014

St. Basil's file photo

[check back for updates, including more links; links also posted to facebook and twitter] Johnson’s Russia List JRL 2014-#199 :: Wednesday 10 September 2014 E-Mail: davidjohnson@starpower.net A project of the Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies (IERES) at The George  Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs: www.ieres.org JRL homepage: russialist.org JRL on Facebook: facebook.com/russialist  JRL on Twitter: twitter.com/JohnsonRussiaLi Support JRL: russialist.org/funding.php 4 DJ: This is the last issue of JRL before the September […]

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RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#198 table of contents with links :: Tuesday 9 September 2014

St. Basil's file photo

[check back for updates, including more links; links also posted to facebook and twitter] Johnson’s Russia List JRL 2014-#198 :: Tuesday 9 September 2014 E-Mail: davidjohnson@starpower.net A project of the Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies (IERES) at The George  Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs: www.ieres.org JRL homepage: russialist.org JRL on Facebook: facebook.com/russialist  JRL on Twitter: twitter.com/JohnsonRussiaLi Support JRL: russialist.org/funding.php  Ukraine 1. Russia Beyond the Headlines: Fyodor Lukyanov: Russia’s relations with the […]

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Moscow Times: Ukraine Crisis Halves Number of U.S. and EU Tourists Visiting Russia

File Photo of Airplane Approaching Runway About to Land

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – September 10, 2014) Russian travel agencies say 40 to 60 percent fewer European and U.S. holiday makers came to Russia in the first half of this year than in the same period of 2013, while three times fewer Russian tourists went abroad, a trend they attribute to bad blood between Russia and the West over […]

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Interfax: Sanctions against Russia already affecting production of tight reserves, could impact shelf

Oil Worker file photo

KHANTY-MANSIISK. Sept 10 (Interfax) – The sanctions imposed by the EU and U.S. against Russia are already affecting the production of tight reserves, Russian Natural Resources Minister Sergei Donskoi said at a briefing in Khanty-Mansiisk. “The sanctions, first due to technology, have not yet impacted [the country’s economy], but are already affecting the production of tight reserves. As a rule, […]

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Interfax: Russia calls for thinking about consequences of weapons supplies to Kyiv

Ukraine Map and Flag

MOSCOW. Sept 10 (Interfax) – Russia knows about the agreements reached by Ukraine and some NATO countries on direct supplies of weapons to Kyiv and suggests thinking about the consequences of the implementation of such decisions. “We believe that all questions on this matter, including relating to the responsibility for the consequences of such a step to peace in Ukraine, […]

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Business New Europe: Russia demands sweeping changes to Ukraine’s association agreement with EU

EU Map

(Business New Europe – bne.eu – September 10, 2014) Moscow wants amendments to five vectors of Ukraine’s association agreement with the European Union, according to liberal Ukrainian paper Zerkalo Nedeli. The amendment would see as much as 20% of goods excluded from free trade between EU and Ukraine. This would require renegotiation of the agreement that could take at least […]

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Arming Ukraine: Arming Ukraine will lead to a widening of the conflict, more death and destruction, and a far more aggressive Russian policy.

Map of Commonwealth of Independent States, European Portion

(opendemocracy.net – Daniel Kennedy – September 5, 2014) Daniel Kennedy is an Associate Editor at oDR. He is an Associate at Global Partners Digital, a social purpose company working to protect and promote human rights values online. As Ukraine struggles to combat domestic insurgents and what appears to be a Russian invasion in all but name, numerous commentators have argued […]

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Interfax: Amnesty International urges human rights violations in eastern Ukraine probed

Ukraine Map and Flag

MOSCOW. Sept 10 (Interfax) – Amnesty International (AI) human rights organization said it demanded human rights violations, committed by both conflict parties in Ukraine, be investigated comprehensively. AI calls for immediate investigations of all reports on human rights violations and war crimes, AI Secretary General Salil Shetty said during a news conference in the central office of Interfax on Wednesday. […]

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RIA Novosti: Russian Prime Minister Calls for Balanced Approach to Ukrainian Crisis

Dmitry Medvedev file photo

MOSCOW, September 10 (RIA Novosti) – Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev on Wednesday called on the global community to assume a balanced approach to the situation in Ukraine. “The truce in Ukraine is still fragile. Kiev must hear all arguments, seek contacts with representatives of southeastern regions because it is an internal Ukrainian conflict, which should not spread outside the […]

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Russia’s Golos Has ‘Foreign Agent’ Status Removed

Kremlin and Saint Basil's File Photo

(RFE/RL – rferl.org – September 08, 2014) The head of the independent Russian electoral rights group Golos (Voice) says a Moscow city court has overturned a decision that the organization had to be registered as a “foreign agent” with authorities. Grigori Melkonyants said the court accepted the appeal of Russian Human Rights Commissioner Ella Pamfilova, who asked the Moscow court to review […]

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Gazprom’s Grip on Russian Gas Exports Weakens as Novatek Gets Export License

Gas Flame file photo

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Alexander Panin – September 9, 2014) Novatek, Russia’s largest independent gas producer, has been granted a license to export liquefied natural gas, or LNG, marking the next step on Russia’s gradual liberalization of a market dominated by state-owned giant Gazprom. Deputy Energy Minister Kirill Molodtsov told the TASS news agency on Saturday that the export […]

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Interfax: State obligation is to defend business from illegitimate actions of foreign countries, companies – Medvedev

File Photo of Dmitry Medvedev Before Gold Flag with Elaborate Design

GORKI. Sept 9 (Interfax) – The state will continue to provide support to Russian business amid the Western sanctions, Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev said during a meeting with NOVATEK (MOEX: NVTK) CEO Leonid Mikhelson. “You can have no doubt that in the face of such unfair actions the state has always supported and will support Russian business,” Medvedev said. […]

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Consumers Stay Away From Moscow’s Malls as Sanctions Deepen Russia’s Slump

File Photo of Cash, Coins, Line Graph

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – September 9, 2014) Nearly 25 percent fewer people visited Moscow’s malls in the week leading up the start of the school year than in the same period of 2013, a survey said, indicating that Western sanctions and an economic slowdown are hitting Russian consumer demand. A report by consumer market research firm Watcom cited by […]

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Interfax: Russia dramatically reduces imports of sanctioned products from non-CIS in August

Truck at Russian Border Crossing

MOSCOW. Sept 9 (Interfax) – Russia dramatically reduced imports of products that are under the food embargo in August compared with July. The food embargo was imposed on August 7, 2014. According to the Federal Customs Service (FCS), vegetable, dairy, poultry and pork supplies declined the most dramatically. So, in August the cost of imports of vegetables amounted to $35.3 […]

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RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#197 table of contents with links :: Monday 8 September 2014

St. Basil's file photo

[check back for updates, including more links; links also posted to facebook and twitter] Johnson’s Russia List JRL 2014-#197 :: Monday 8 September 2014 E-Mail: davidjohnson@starpower.net A project of the Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies (IERES) at The George  Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs: www.ieres.org JRL homepage: russialist.org JRL on Facebook: facebook.com/russialist  JRL on Twitter: twitter.com/JohnsonRussiaLi Support JRL: russialist.org/funding.php  Ukraine 1. Moscow Times: Mark Adomanis, The West Needs to Start Facing […]

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Interfax: Over 100,000 Ukrainians granted refugee status in Russia – deputy PM

Map of Western CIS/FSU and European Environs

(Interfax – September 8, 2014) Gorki, 8 September: Some 105,000 Ukrainian citizens have been granted the refugee status, some 500 people apply every day for participation in the programme for voluntary resettlement of compatriots from abroad, Deputy Prime Minister Dmitriy Kozak has said. “I would like to remind you that the (refugee – Interfax) status has been currently granted to […]

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One Year After Leader’s Death, North Caucasus Insurgency Soldiers On

Doku Umarov file photo

(RFE/RL – rferl.org – Liz Fuller – September 7, 2014) September 7 marks the first anniversary of the death from poisoning of Doku Umarov, the Chechen field commander who abandoned the cause of an independent Chechen Republic Ichkeria in 2007 and instead proclaimed a Caucasus Emirate (IK) encompassing the entire North Caucasus. While Umarov’s death has had only minimal impact on the […]

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Interfax: Rosstat affirms 0.8% Q2 Russian GDP growth estimate

File Photo of Cash, Coins, Line Graph

MOSCOW. Sept 8 (Interfax) – The Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) has affirmed its preliminary estimate of 0.8% year-on-year GDP growth for the second quarter of 2014, the agency said. GDP was 17.697 trillion rubles in current prices in Q2. Rosstat published its preliminary estimate for Q2 in the middle of August. The Russian Economic Development Ministry estimated the economy […]

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Interfax: Russian economy to grow 0.5 percent this year, possibly more, says Medvedev

File Photo of Cash, Coins, Line Graph

(Interfax – September 8, 2014) The Russian economy is projected to grow 0.5 percent this year, and while this is not a very good figure, the situation in other countries does not differ much from Russia, Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev said in an interview with Russian newspaper Vedomosti. “We have focused on significantly higher growth rates. Now we are […]

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Moscow Times: Russia Hardens Military Thinking as NATO Fizzes Over Ukraine

NATO meeting file photo

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Matthew Bodner – September 8, 2014) As West’s Cold-War-era military alliance cranks its belligerence levels up to 11, NATO’s historic enemy, Russia, is rejigging its own military thinking in response. In response to the harder stance confirmed at NATO’s summit last week in Wales, Russian officials are revisiting the country’s war doctrine, mulling its nuclear […]

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Gas war seen as next phase of Russia-Ukraine conflict

Gas Flame file photo

(Business New Europe – bne.eu – Ben Aris in Moscow – September 8, 2014) [Charts here http://www.bne.eu/content/story/gas-war-seen-next-phase-russia-ukraine-conflict] Even if a lasting ceasefire in eastern Ukraine can be secured, the cessation of military hostilities will only mark the beginning of a new fight. The battle between Russia and Ukraine over gas supplies is about to restart and will probably come to […]

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RIA Novosti: Political Analyst: US Backs Kiev Regime As Only Anti-Russian Force in Ukraine

File Photo of Vladimir Putin and Barack Obama Seated with Flags Behind

MOSCOW, September 8 (RIA Novosti) – The United States supports Nazi-like Kiev regime as it is the only anti-Russian force that exists in Ukraine, director of the Moscow-based Institute of Globalization Studies said Monday. “The US supports them out of need, simply because they are the only existing anti-Russian,Russophobic force that exists in Ukraine. It’s understood that had Hitler attacked […]

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RIA Novosti: Medvedev: Russia to Stick to Current Development Course Despite External Disturbances

Dmitry Medvedev file photo

MOSCOW, September 7 (RIA Novosti) – Russia is not planning to change its development course, despite being subject to external disturbances, according to Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev. “The conditions for economic development, for the development of the country and people’s lives are certainly not simple. Speaking bluntly, as a member of the country’s leadership, I can say that I […]

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Interfax: War did massive damage to Donetsk – city mayor

Ukraine Map and Flag

KYIV. Sept 8 (Interfax) – Donetsk Mayor Oleksandr Lukyanchenko says the military action has done “massive” damage to the city. “It’s in the billions [hryvni]. If we take the industrial sector, residential; buildings, social infrastructure, energy facilities, and railway, it will be a colossal amount of damage. It will take the city’s economy a lot of time to return to […]

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VIDEO: Will the cease-fire between Ukraine and Russian separatists last?

Maidan Square file photo

From PBS, Jeffrey Brown interviews Michael McFaul, former U.S. Ambassador to Russia, John Mearsheimer of the University of Chicago and Nicholas Burns, former U.S. Ambassador to NATO, about unfolding events in Ukraine and the Western response. Click here for transcript: pbs.org/newshour/bb/will-cease-fire-ukraine-russian-separatists-last/    

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RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#196 table of contents with links :: Saturday 6 September 2014

St. Basil's file photo

[check back for updates, including more links; links also posted to facebook and twitter] Johnson’s Russia List JRL 2014-#196 :: Saturday 6 September 2014 E-Mail: davidjohnson@starpower.net A project of the Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies (IERES) at The George  Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs: www.ieres.org JRL homepage: russialist.org JRL on Facebook: facebook.com/russialist  JRL on Twitter: twitter.com/JohnsonRussiaLi Support JRL: russialist.org/funding.php  1. Reuters: Putin is under Satan’s influence – leader of Kiev […]

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RIA Novosti: Official: Ukraine’s NATO Membership Not Discussed at Meeting in UK

NATO Meeting file photo

NEWPORT, September 5 (RIA Novosti) – NATO and Ukraine did not discuss the possibility of the Eastern European country’s membership in the military alliance, a NATO official said Friday. “In regard to membership, no, that question wasn’t raided and wasn’t discussed,” the official said on conditions of anonymity. On Wednesday, the Ukrainian government approved legislation to change the country’s “non-bloc” […]

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Moscow Times: U.S.-Russia Split Over Ukraine Gives Islamic State Upper Hand

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Allison Quinn – September 5, 2014) As the NATO summit gets under way in Wales and world leaders put on a united front against the growing threat posed by radical terrorist organization the Islamic State, continued bickering between Russia and the West over events in Ukraine threatens to give the “apocalyptic” group carte blanche to […]

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Interfax: Parties led by Poroshenko, Lyashko, Tymoshenko may garner comparable number of votes in Ukrainian parliamentary elections – poll

Ukraine Map and Flag

KYIV. Sept 4 (Interfax) – The Solidarity party led by Petro Poroshenko, the Radical Party led by Oleh Lyashko, and the Batkivshchyna all-Ukrainian association have roughly equal electoral ratings in the run-up to early parliamentary elections scheduled in Ukraine for October 26, 2014, as is seen from a poll conducted by GfK Ukraine. In particular, 16% of respondents plan to […]

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Moscow Times: New EU Sanctions to Inflict Long-Term Pain

Truck at Russian Border Crossing

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Howard Amos – September 5, 2014) The Russian business world is braced for the European Union’s unfurling of a fresh round of economic sanctions on Friday, with analysts predicting that Russia’s $2 trillion economy will be squeezed even tighter while its companies face isolation from international markets. A peace plan sketched out by President Vladimir […]

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Interfax: Gen. Baluyevsky: New Russian military doctrine to have no provisions on preventive nuke strike, potential enemy

Russia ICBM on Mobile Launcher

MOSCOW. Sept 5 (Interfax) – The updated Russian military doctrine will not designate a potential enemy and conditions of a preventive nuclear strike against it; such information is available in classified directives, former Russian General Staff Chief Gen. of the Army Yuri Baluyevsky, who co-authored the 2010 military doctrine of Russia, told Interfax-AVN on Friday. “The state military doctrine is […]

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