Russian CEOs Cautiously Optimistic About Future Growth, Study Says

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(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – December 13, 2013) Chief Executive Officers from Russian companies are generally upbeat about the current state of Russia’s economy, but a large proportion have only moderate expectations for its future development prospects, a study conducted by executive search firm Stanton Chase International found. Over 85 percent of the survey’s participants assessed 2013 as successful, but […]

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Interfax: Kremlin aide sees no major breakthrough in improving Russia’s business climate

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(Interfax – December 16, 2013) Russia has not yet managed to achieve a radical breakthrough on the issue of improving its business climate, the Russian president’s aide on economic issues, Andrei Belousov believes. “The euphoria from the nearly 20 percent advancement in the Doing Business rating passed about three hours after we found out the results,” Belousov said on Monday […]

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Putin, Facing Sputtering Economy, Declares a Tax Crackdown

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(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Gabrielle Tétrault-Farber – December 13, 2013) President Vladimir Putin capped off a year of aggressively seeking to fill the government’s coffers by announcing Thursday that the government would begin to tax Russian offshore companies and no longer support foreign-registered enterprises. Praising Russia’s improving business environment, Putin also used his annual Constitution Day speech to highlight […]

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Interfax: Kudrin agrees with Putin that internal reasons to blame for slowdown

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MOSCOW. Dec 12 (Interfax) – Former Russian Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin agrees with President Vladimir Putin that the reasons for the economic slowdown in Russia are internal, rather than external in nature. “The president absolutely correctly noted that the reasons for our economic stagnation are internal,” Kudrin wrote on Twitter on Thursday. He also agreed with the view Putin stated […]

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Ulyukayev says wrong to give overly optimistic forecasts

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MOSCOW. Dec 9 (Interfax) – The Russian Ministry of Economic Development says it considers it wrong to give unrealistically upbeat forecasts, Economic Development Minister Alexei Ulyukayev told journalists in Moscow on Monday. Ulyukayev was commenting on a statement by presidential aide on economic issues Andrei Belousov that the Economic Development Ministry and Finance Ministry are not looking for additional reserves […]

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Interfax: Shuvalov: modest GDP growth given high oil prices means little real growth

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MOSCOW. Nov 27 (Interfax) – Russia’s modest economic growth despite high oil prices means that the economy is barely growing at all, First Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov said. “Given such high prices for energy resources, it must be acknowledged that we are not in fact growing,” Shuvalov said at a business conference on Wednesday. That circumstance makes the development […]

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Russian economic growth will be leaner than predicted

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(Russia Beyond the Headlines – rbth.ru – Anna Kuchma, RBTH – November 14, 2013) The Russian Ministry of Economic Development (MED) has lowered its forecasted growth rate for the country’s development through 2030. Experts caution that the new projection is conservative and describes the most negative Decreasing real oil prices and oil production output will cause Russia’s economic growth during […]

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Will Russians React to Kremlin’s Unprecedented Prediction of Stagnation Ahead?

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(Window on Eurasia – Paul Goble – Staunton, November 14, 2013) In an editorial today, Moscow’s “Nezavisimaya gazeta” asks what may be the key question about Russian social and political life in the next few years or more: will Russians react to the Kremlin’s unprecedented prediction that the country potentially faces decades of stagnation as a result of the government’s […]

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RIA Novosti: Minister Admits Russia’s Economic Growth Slower Than Expected

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MOSCOW, November 13 (RIA Novosti) ­ Russia’s GDP growth is likely to remain below this year’s goal of 1.8 percent, Russia’s Economic Development Minister Alexei Ulyukayev said Wednesday. The Federal Statistics Service said Tuesday that Russia’s GDP had grown 1.2 percent on a year earlier in the third quarter of 2013, the same pace as in the previous three months. […]

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Interfax: Russian GDP grows 1.2% in Q3 – Rosstat

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MOSCOW. Nov 12 (Interfax) – Russia’s gross domestic product expanded 1.2% year-on-year last quarter, the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) said on Tuesday. That was in line with what the Economic Development Ministry had calculated for the period – 1.2%. Rosstat did not report January-September GDP dynamics. Judging from the data for Q1 (1.6% year-on-year growth), Q2 (1.2%), and Q3, […]

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Over third of Russians anticipate hard period – poll

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(Interfax – MOSCOW, October 21, 2013) Russians have mixed feelings about the country’s development scenarios in the near future. Some are optimistic and others suggest pessimistic scenarios, the Russian Public Opinion Studies Center (VTsIOM) told Interfax on Monday. Over a third of Russians (36%) claim a hard period is in store for the country. Most of such opinions are voiced […]

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Russian GDP will grow 2% in 2013 in best case – PM

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(Interfax – GORKI, October 21, 2013) Russia’s gross domestic product will grow 2% this year in the best-case scenario, Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev told the consulting council for foreign investments in Russia in Gorki on Monday. “In the eight months of 2013, Russian GDP grew 1.5%, although in 2012 there was four and some percent. The expectation for growth [this […]

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Russia’s brave bet on organic growth

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(Business New Europe – bne.eu – Ben Aris in Moscow – October 17, 2013) Russia’s growth over the first nine months of this year was 0%, Deputy Economic Development Minister Andrei Klepach said on October 15. While the rest of the world is fixated on trying to spur growth, the Kremlin is largely ignoring the problem of its stagnating economy, […]

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Russian economy still stagnating, Q3 growth almost zero – Klepach

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(Interfax – MOSCOW, October 16, 2013) The Russian economy is still stagnating, with zero GDP growth in Q3 this year on a seasonally adjusted basis, Deputy Economic Development Minister Andrei Klepach said at a meeting of the State Duma’s budget committee. “The forecast was that we would reverse the tendency for economic growth to slow and this stagnation, which we […]

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Only innovative economic model can ensure sustainable growth – Dvorkovich

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(Interfax – MOSCOW, October 14, 2013) Using reserve funds to support major investment projects and small and medium businesses can accelerate economic growth slightly for a few months, but an innovative model of growth needs to be implemented in the long-term, Deputy Prime Minister Arkady Dvorkovich said at a briefing for the upcoming Open Innovations international forum in Moscow. The […]

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IMF Says Russian Economic Growth Model Exhausted

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(RIA Novosti – MOSCOW, October 9, 2013) The International Monetary Fund warned in a report published Wednesday that Russia’s economic model has exhausted itself and predicted that future growth will be constrained by negative demographic trends. The IMF’s annual World Economic Outlook said that the Russian economy has managed to grow on the back of rising oil prices and by […]

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World Bank: Russian Energy Strength is Economic Weakness

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(OilPrice.com – Daniel J. Graeber – September 26, 2013 – article also appeared at http://oilprice.com/Finance/the-Economy/World-Bank-Russian-Energy-Strength-is-Economic-Weakness.html; a version of the article also appeared in The Christian Science Monitor as “Is Russia’s economy running out of gas?” at http://www.csmonitor.com/Environment/Energy-Voices/2013/0926/Is-Russia-s-economy-running-out-of-gas) The head of the World Bank in Russia said Wednesday he was alarmed by the slowdown in the Russian economy.  The bank said the […]

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World Bank Cuts Russian Economic Growth Forecasts, Urges Reform

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(RIA Novosti – MOSCOW, September 25, 2013) ­ The World Bank cut its 2013 growth forecast for the Russian economy in a new report published Wednesday, asserting that domestic consumers had followed investors in “sitting on the fence” over the economy and warning that structural reforms would be necessary to stimulate new growth. Russia’s economy will expand by 1.8 percent […]

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EBRD Chief Sees Opportunity in ‘Sluggish’ Russia

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(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – September 24, 2013) EBRD president Suma Chakrabarti acknowledged Tuesday that Russia’s sputtering economy combined with deeply ingrained problems such as corruption and a weak court system were deterring both foreign and domestic investors. But he insisted that the opportunities continued to far outweigh the risks and said the Russian authorities were taking much-needed steps to […]

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Russia’s Growth Ranking Low, Hopes High

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(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Guennadi Moukine – September 20, 2013) A study on economic factors that stimulate growth that was released Thursday puts Russia in 43rd place out of 60 countries, showing no overall improvement over last year’s ranking. The Grant Thornton Global Dynamism Index for 2013, which combined 2012 results with economic development forecasts for 2013, placed Australia […]

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RIA Novosti: Russia’s Economy at Worst Since Global Crisis – Minister

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(RIA Novosti – MOSCOW, September 18, 2013) Russia’s gross domestic product (GDP) is growing too slowly to pull the country out of its worst economic situation since the 2008 global financial crisis, the country’s economic development minister said Wednesday, and the stagnation is unlikely to improve in 2014. Alexei Ulyukayev said during a “government hour” meeting in the State Duma […]

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Putin: Russia needs growth budget in 2014-2016, despite economic challenges

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(Interfax – NOVO-OGARYOVO, September 11, 2013) Russia needs to have a growth budget in 2014-2016 despite the difficulties in the global economy, President Vladimir Putin said at a meeting on drafting the budget for the next three years. “We need to soberly assess the situation and bring revenue and spending into line with the economic growth forecast that is shaping […]

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Report Sees Possible Economic Upturn

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(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Irina Filatova – September 10, 2013) The Russian economy might see a slight pickup by the end of this year driven by expanding investment and a possible easing of monetary policy by the Central Bank, according to the latest forecast by Morgan Stanley presented Monday. The GDP growth is likely to expand by 2.2 percent […]

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Back to the 90s – Russia to freeze energy tariffs

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(Business New Europe – bne.eu – Ben Aris in Moscow – September 10, 2013) In the face of persistently high inflation and capital outflows, the Russian government has decided to freeze energy tariffs, which will give the economy a short-term boost, but will also stymie the long-term development of the economy. Times are tough in Russia after economic growth dropped […]

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Economic ministry expects Russian GDP growth to quicken to 1.9% in Q3, to 2.2% in Q4

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(Interfax – MOSCOW, August 27, 2013) The growth of Russia’s gross domestic product could quicken to 1.9% in the third and 2.2% in the fourth quarters, Deputy Economic Development Minister Andrei Klepach told the press. “We have revised the GDP growth forecast for the third quarter to 1.9%, for the fourth to 2.2%, Klepach said, noting that second-half growth generally […]

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Russia flirts with recession

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(Business New Europe – bne.eu – Ben Aris in Moscow – August 22, 2013) Russia never does things by halves. Before the global crisis of 2008, the talk was of an economy overheating. But the latest data showing second-quarter GDP grew just 1.2% from a year ago suggests the country is sliding toward recession and the government seems, at first […]

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Is Russia Already in Recession?

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(Bloomberg – bloomberg.com – Leonid Bershidsky – August 20, 2013) Russia’s economy, long one of the drivers of growth in the developing world, might already be in recession. Worse, the country’s leaders are offering no indication that they’re prepared to combat it. Identifying recessions can be difficult in Russia. The typical definition is two quarters of declining gross domestic product, […]

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Economic Growth Slows Again, Sparking Recession Fears

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(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Irina Filatova – August 12, 2013) Russia has recorded another quarterly decline in its economic growth rate, fueling concerns about a possible recession and casting doubt on President Vladimir Putin’s hopes to attain annual growth of 5 percent over the next few years. The negative dynamic could intensify pressure on the government and the Central […]

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Low Demand Limits Russia’s 2013 Growth

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(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – July 31, 2013) Russian industry’s main economic indicators do not suggest it is on its way to recovery in the second half of 2013. Low demand for industrial goods remains the main challenge for Russian businesses according to a poll conducted by the Gaidar Institute. The poll showed that in July demand was at its […]

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Expert Invokes Italian Economic Miracle as Model for Russia

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(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Guennadi Moukine – July 31, 2013) Removing obstacles that inhibit the development and operation of small- and medium-sized enterprises in Russia is the key to economic recovery, an Italian expert said. Small businesses were instrumental in rebuilding the Italian economy and transforming a mainly rural nation into an industrial powerhouse in the 1960s, a period […]

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June investment slowdown troubling, but GDP growth forecast unchanged – Ulyukayev

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(Interfax – KALUGA, July 23, 2013) Russian Economic Development Minister Alexei Ulyukayev considers the 2.4% slump in investments in fixed capital in June, factoring in seasonal and calendar factors, is a worrisome sign, but there is an improvement trend and the 2.4% GDP growth forecast is not changing. “Generally, of course, the sign is troubling,” Ulyukayev told the press on […]

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Russia overtakes Germany to become 5th largest economy

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(Business New Europe – bne.eu – MOSCOW BLOG – July 17, 2013) Russia passed an important milestone on July 15, overtaking Germany to become the biggest economy in Europe in terms of purchasing power parity and the fifth biggest in the world. This achievement comes on top of the World Bank’s decision a week earlier to upgrade Russia from a […]

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Medvedev Lauds Russia’s 5th Place in World Bank’s GDP Rating

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(RIA Novosti – MOSCOW, July 15, 2013) ­ Russia has been ranked as the world’s fifth largest economy by GDP based on purchasing power parity, winning praise on Monday from Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev. The World Bank’s new GDP rating published last week ranks the United States as the world’s largest economy by purchasing power parity last year with $15.7 […]

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Things picking up? Rencap-NEC upgrade 2H13 growth forecast

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(Business New Europe – bne.eu – June 17, 2013) The great debate in Russia is if growth has stalled or if the economy is only going through a soft patch at the moment. GDP growth fell to 1.6% in the first quarter (revised up from the initial estimate of 1.1%). But that is still not very good. Industrial production growth […]

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HSBC Blames Russia’s Stunted Growth in May on Extra Holidays

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(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Rajeev Sharma – June 10, 2013) Russia’s stunted growth in the private sector in May was due to the extended holidays, while India led the pack of BRIC peers for economic growth, a report said. While noting that the economic growth in emerging market economies remained sluggish overall last month, the HSBC composite index, which […]

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Audit Chamber believes govt economic forecasts for 2014-2016 too optimistic

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(Interfax – MOSCOW, June 3, 2013) Experts at the Audit Chamber and economists it recruited who work at government, corporate and research institutions are questioning the Russian government’s social and economic scenarios and forecasts for 2014-2016. The social and economic development forecast that the government considered on May 16 was discussed on May 29 at a meeting at the Audit […]

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Russian GDP growth accelerates to 2.6% in April, economy grows 1.8% in 4M – Klepach

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(Interfax – MOSCOW, May 27, 2013) Russian GDP grew 2.6% year-on-year in April, compared with growth of 2% in March, the Economic Development Ministry estimates. The economy grew 1.8% year-on-year in January-April, Deputy Economic Development Minister Andrei Klepach said at a briefing. GDP grew 0.1% in April compared with March on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.4% in March. […]

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Putin’s Frustration Grows as Russia’s Economy Slumps

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(Bloomberg – bloomberg.com – Leonid Bershidsky – May 23, 2013) President Vladimir Putin’s popularity throughout much of Russia is founded on an implicit social compact: People have given up some freedom in return for economic prosperity. Now, Putin’s authoritarian ways could be killing the economic growth that has helped keep him in power. Time and time again, Russia’s leaders have […]

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Russia will not have recession in 2013 – official

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(Interfax – May 23, 2013) Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov does not think that Russia will have a recession this year. “There won’t be a recession this year. Short answer,” he said at a Thursday briefing. The economy is not currently in a crisis situation. The issue is that the government is not satisfied with current growth levels […]

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Russian Economic Ministry expects economic growth slowdown to reverse in Q2

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(Interfax – MOSCOW, May 16, 2013) The current trend of slowed economic growth in Russia might be reversed this quarter, according to the Russian Economic Development Ministry. “We anticipate that there will be a turning point in negative trends already in the second quarter and that economic growth will surpass 3% in the second half of the year,” Economic Development […]

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Russia yet to reverse income inequality trend – Rosstat head

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(Interfax – BRYANSK, May 16, 2013) 3.4% GDP growth in Russia is good, but there is still income inequality that proves the Russian economy has some flaws, Rosstat head Alexander Surinov told a press conference in Bryansk. “GDP growth rates have shrunk but there is still 3.4% growth. I have been in the statistics business for a long time. 3% […]

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Russian economy could grow 6% annually in 2014-2016 with structural modernization – minister

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(Interfax – MOSCOW, April 29, 2013) The Russian economy could be in a position to achieve 6% annual growth in 2014-2016 with structural modernization, Economic Development Minister Andrei Belousov said. “The use of these reserves (structural modernization mechanisms) will enable us to enter a trajectory of 6% growth in 2014-2016 and almost 7% a year in 2017-2020. This level is […]

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Experts Predict Recession Driven by Internal Factors

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(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – April 24, 2013) Intrinsic deficiencies rather than external shocks can turn the current slowdown in the Russian economy into a full-blown recession, research conducted at the Higher School of Economics has found. Valery Mironov and Vadim Kanonov from the school’s Center for Economic Development said Russia was vulnerable to sliding into an “autonomous recession” even […]

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Russian economy not in recession; no urgent need for economic stimulus – Shuvalov

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(Interfax – MOSCOW, April 18, 2013) The Russian government does not have to undertake immediate action to stimulate economic growth, First Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov said. There is “dissatisfaction with the pace of economic growth,” he said, but the Russian economy is not in recession. “This is no place for emotions. Of course there can be stimulation of one […]

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Experts and officials spar over growth

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(Moscow News – themoscownews.com – By Irina Granik, Moskovskiye Novosti – April 15, 2013) Analysts call for reform of state institutions, while the government demands action from private and state companies The forecast for socio-economic development of the country through 2030, recently published by the government, has come straight into the depths of discussions flaring up in connection with the […]

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Russian Econ Ministry expects GDP growth to quicken to 2.1% in Q2

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(Interfax – MOSCOW. April 15, 2013) The Russian Economic Development Ministry expects GDP growth to accelerate to 2.1% in Q2 2013, from 1.1% in Q1, and to around 3% in H2 2013, Deputy Economic Development Minister Andrei Klepach told reporters. “The slowdown in economic growth is here for all to see. But we work on the basis that there’ll be […]

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Russian growth forecast slashed by third

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(Interfax – MOSCOW. April 12, 2013) Deputy Economic Development Minister Andrei Klepach officially unveiled his ministry’s new 2013 forecasts for the Russian economy on Thursday. The reduction of the GDP growth forecast was anticipated, but the scale of the decrease, by 1.2 percentage points to 2.4%, came as a surprise. In its December forecast, the Economic Development Ministry projected that […]

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Minister gives gloomy outlook for Russian economy in 2013

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(Interfax – Hanover, April 7, 2013) The Economic Development Ministry will lower in its revised socio-economic development forecast its estimate for gas exports from the Russian Federation (in natural units), for the increase in investment in the Russian Federation, and for GDP rise, Minister Andrey Belousov has said. “I can definitely say that the forecast for 2013 will have lower […]

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Russian GDP growth confirmed at 3.4% in 2012, Q4 growth slows to 2.1% – Rosstat

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MOSCOW. April 2 (Interfax) – Russian GDP grew 2.1% in the fourth quarter of 2012, the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) said in an initial estimate for the period on Tuesday. GDP growth for the year remains 3.4%. However Rosstat did adjust quarterly GDP dynamics for 2012: GDP grew 4.8% year-on-year in Q1, compared with an original estimate of 4.9%; […]

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