RUSSIA & UKRAINE – Johnson’s Russia List table of contents :: JRL 2018-207 :: Tuesday, 27 November 2018

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Johnson’s Russia List :: JRL 2018-#207 :: Monday, 27 November 2018
A project sponsored through the Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies (IERES) at The George Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs. The contents do not necessarily represent the views of IERES or The George Washington University.
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1. Christian Science Monitor: Fred Weir, Behind Ukraine-Russia naval tensions, a more brutal economic war. Trade ties with western Europe haven’t matched Ukraine’s hopes. That gives Russia extra leverage over a neighbor with whom historic bonds run deep, even amid the current situation off the shores of Crimea.
2. Ben Aris, Did Ukraine provoke the clash in the Sea of Azov?
3. Kerch Strait standoff: Ukrainian Navy consciously ignored orders to stop, FSB says. []
4. Russian and Eurasia Politics: Gordon Hahn, Sobyanin: Putin’s Successor?
5. “Unfortunately, this film will remain relevant for a long time,” – director Vitaly Mansky. The latest film by Vitaly Mansky revisits rare behind-the-scenes footage of Operation Successor and chronicles Vladimir Putin’s rise to power.
6. Moscow Times/Bloomberg: Leonid Bershidsky, Russia Needs a Better Post-Putin Vision . No one appears to have a compelling plan for the post-Putin future.
7. Russia Beyond: Why is Russia’s population (relatively) small and declining?[]
8. Meduza: ‘Russia Today’ chief editor says the Kremlin helped free a rapper from jail.
9. Financial Times: Russia plots first euro debt issuance in half a decade. Move is sign Moscow is moving away from US dollar market on sanctions fears.
10. Russia-led Eurasian Union notches up major success in dumping dollar in favor of national currencies.
11. TASS: Tests enough to back theory on Magnitsky’s poisoning, Russian prosecutors say.
12. PONARS Eurasia: Mariya Omelicheva and Lawrence Markowitz, The Nature and Sources of Terrorist Threat in Russia: An “Armed Underground” or ISIL?
13. The National Interest: Jonas Driedger, The Coming War over Ukraine? The danger of escalation is real and must be treated as such.
14. TASS: Izvestia: Ukrainian Kerch Strait provocation ends in failure.
15. TASS: Media: What awaits Ukraine after the Kerch Strait provocation.
16. TASS: Medvedev sees Poroshenko’s chances of winning presidential election as zero.
17. The Real News Network: Moscow & NATO Playing a ‘Dangerous Tit-For-Tat Game’ in the Ukraine. Col. Lawrence Wilkerson says that the latest Ukraine crisis, in which Russia is holding Ukrainian navy boats, was foreseeable and likely, given NATO’s constant encroachment on Russia’s border region. []
18. Facebook: Ivan Katchanovski, Kerch incident.
19. Kyiv’s imposition of martial law will hurt Ukraine’s economy.
20. The Vineyard of the Saker: The Saker, About the latest Ukronazi provocation in the Kerch strait (UPDATED) []
21. Atlantic Council: Q&A: Russia Attacks Ukraine Again. How Should Ukraine, NATO, and the West Respond?
22. RUSI: Emily Ferris, Probing the Baltic States: Why Russia’s Ambitions Do Not Have a Security Dimension. As a political and military reassurance, a recent NATO exercise in the Baltic region makes sense. But Russia’s real levers of influence over the Baltic states are not military, and NATO may not be the appropriate answer. []
23. Awful Avalanche: The Myth of the Ukrainian Holodomor – Part III. []
24. New York Times editorial: Russia Attacks Ukrainian Ships and International Law. A provocation that could tighten Russia’s illegal hold on Crimea.
25. Washington Post editorial: Russia’s escalation against Ukraine shows how little Putin worries about the West. The blatant act of war calls for strong condemnation from the U.S. president.
26. Washington Post: Anne Applebaum, Russia’s latest attack on the Ukrainians is a warning to the West. Moscow is counting on our passivity.
27. Washington Post: Jennifer Rubin, Trump’s weakness begets Russian aggression.
28. Bloomberg: Eli Lake, Putin Will Understand Only One Response: Escalation. Russia’s president cannot be allowed to attack another country to solve his own domestic problems.
29. Washington Post: THE NEW ARCTIC FRONTIER. As the ice melts, U.S. prepares for possible threats from Russia and China.
30. Washington Post editorial: Russian election hacking wasn’t as bad in 2018. That’s no excuse to sit back and relax. We must prepare for the 2020 elections.
31. TASS: Izvestia: Despite tough prison conditions, Butina stays strong.
32. Interfax: Russian citizen Butina again switched to solitary confinement in U.S. can take walks only at night.

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Map of Ukraine, Including Crimea, and Neighbors, Including Russia

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Eurasia Map