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UKRAINE & RUSSIA :: Recent Issues: WEDNESDAY JRL 7.23.14 :: TUESDAY JRL 7.22.14 :: MONDAY JRL 7.21.14 :: SUNDAY JRL 7.20.14 :: FRIDAY JRL 7.18.14

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EU opposes Russian oil and gas sanctions, considers targeting other sectors

EU Map

(Business New Europe – bne.eu – Concorde Capital – July 24, 2014) EU Energy Commissioner GYnther Oettinger opposes sanctions on Russian natural gas and oil but doesn’t rule out sanctions on energy technology and equipment, he told a July 23 press conference in Brussels, as reported by the UNIAN news agency. “I always spoke against

Putin Now Down to One Ally – Moscow Television

File Photo of Russian Television Studio

(Window on Eurasia – Paul Goble – Staunton, July 24, 2014) Tsar Aleksandr III famously said that Russia has only two allies – its army and its fleet – but now, according to Rashit Akhmetov, the editor of “Zvezda Povolzhya,” Vladimir Putin is down to only one – Moscow television with its ability to shape

RIA Novosti: Putin plays down threat of third world war at security meeting – Russian pundits

Aerial View of Kremlin and Environs

(RIA Novosti - July 23, 2014) Having stated at a meeting of the Russian Security Council that there are no direct threats to the sovereignty of the country, Russian President Vladimir Putin has cooled the intensity of the debate about the possibility of a third world war, and also demonstrated his personal judo dexterity in relations with

RIA Novosti: Ukrainian Parliament Speaker Dissolves Communist Party Following Newly Introduced Rules

Map of Western CIS/FSU and European Environs

KIEV, July 24 (RIA Novosti) – The speaker of Ukraine’s parliament, Oleksandr Turchynov, dissolved the country’s Communist Party during Thursday’s session. “As of July 1, 2014, this parliamentary party was down to 23 members [from the previous number of 33], which is significantly less than the minimum requirement for parliamentary parties. In this regard and

RIA Novosti: Ukrainian Lawmakers Quit Coalition to Enable Parliament’s Dissolution

Ukraine Map and Flag

KIEV, July 24 (RIA Novosti) – Ukraine’s Svoboda and UDAR parties announced Thursdaytheir factions in the Ukrainian parliament were quitting the majority coalition, paving the way for the dissolution of parliament. The majority coalition in the Ukrainian parliament, created after the February coup, had 256 members, the vast majority of them representing the erstwhile opposition

Ukraine update

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Business New Europe – bne.eu – Tim Ash, Standard Bank – July 24, 2014) What is now clear on the ground is that Ukraine is at war, and with significant casualties suffered now by both sides on a daily basis – tens of lives lost almost daily now. The conflict is also causing very significant

RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#160 contents with links :: Wednesday 23 July 2014

St. Basil's file photo

… 39. Reuters: Putin ally warns Russia risks isolation over Ukraine rhetoric. (Kudrin)
40. The National Interest: Nikolas Gvosdev, Can Russia Avoid Being Hit with More Sanctions? Four indicators to consider.
41. Business New Europe: Clifford G. Gaddy and Barry W. Ickes, Can Sanctions Stop Putin? ….

Making sense of war: The perspective of five great Russian writers

Battle of Stalingrad file photo

(Russia Beyond the Headlines – rbth.ru – Mikhail Butov, special to RBTH – July 23, 2014) The author is a writer and Russian Booker Prize winner. The current conflict in Ukraine is raising sensitive ethical questions, forcing us to consider the justifications and meaning of using military force, and whether it should be allowed at

Ukraine Claims Rebels Wanted Phosphorus Bombs

Map of Western CIS/FSU and European Environs

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – July 23, 2014) Ukraine’s Interior Ministry on Tuesday accused the pro-Russian insurgency of attempting to procure white phosphorus ammunition, whose use is limited by international agreements. The ministry cited intercepted conversations between the insurgents, who allegedly spoke about obtaining phosphorus missiles for Grad missile launchers at their disposal. The rebels

Rebel Stronghold Donetsk Holds Breath as Shellfire Mounts

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Bloomberg – bloomberg.com – Aliaksandr Kudrytski – July 22, 2014) The grass is being trimmed, the flowers tended and the potholes on roads filled. Jazz plays out from a cafe, and a few people are out enjoying the sunshine. Yet puncturing the scene of a European summer is the distant boom, boom, boom of artillery

Last train from Luhansk

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Business New Europe – bne.eu – Graham Stack in Luhansk – July 23, 2014) Luhansk falls quiet as its citizens flee the city. The train station is the town’s last populated place as residents queue for any ride out of town – and not by coincidence it is also one of the rebels’ favourite artillery

Russia Beyond the Headlines: Loss of Ukraine’s military-industrial complex will cost Russia $938 million

File Photo of Russian Nuclear Missile on Mobile Launcher Near Woods

(Russia Beyond the Headlines – rbth.ru – Nikolai Litovkin, RBTH – July 23, 2014) The business newspaper Kommersant has reported the findings of a special working group of the Russian Federal Space Agency (Roscosmos), which has quantified the costs of ceased collaboration with Ukrainian military-industrial enterprises. Russia will need to spend $938 million (33 billion

Obama’s Reluctance to Arming Rebels Stiffened by Airliner Strike

File Photo of Vladimir Putin and Barack Obama Seated Before Russian and U.S. Flags

(Bloomberg – bloomberg.com – Margaret Talev – July 23, 2014) The downing of a Malaysian passenger aircraft in Ukraine may stiffen Obama administration resistance to providing heavy armaments to rebels — or even besieged governments — seeking U.S. help in hotspots around the world. In the wake of the Malaysia Airlines (MAS) disaster, President Barack

Interfax: Putin vows to avoid clampdown in fight against radicalism

Aerial View of Kremlin and Environs

(Interfax – July 22, 2014) Russian President Vladimir Putin has vowed that the fight against radicalism in Russia will not result in a state clampdown on civil society and said he expects the Russian public to help prevent one, Russian privately-owned news agency Interfax reported on 22 July. Putin made the statements at a meeting

Interfax: Putin says Ukrainian “scenario” won’t happen in Russia

File Photo of Vladimir Putin Sitting at Desk

(Interfax – July 22, 2014) The “scenario” that has been used in Ukraine by “external” forces will not happen in Russia, President Vladimir Putin has said. He made these remarks at a meeting with the Russian Security Council, as reported by privately-owned news agency Interfax. Speaking about the so-called “colour revolutions” and in particular Ukraine,

Interfax: Russians believe situation in Ukraine threatens Russian-speaking residents of Ukraine – poll

Map of Western CIS/FSU and European Environs

MOSCOW. July 23 (Interfax) – An overwhelming majority of Russians surveyed by the All-Russia Public Opinion Research Center (VTsIOM) (88%) believe there is currently a threat to Russian-speaking people in Ukraine and the Russian administration should protect their interests. Seven percent of the respondents said they do not believe such a threat exists in Ukraine.

RIA Novosti: Ukrainian Communist Party to Be Dissolved Thursday

Ukraine Map and Flag

KIEV, July 23 (RIA Novosti) – Ukrainian parliament speaker Oleksandr Turchynov announced that the Communist Party, who occupy 23 seats in the Verkhovna Rada, would be dissolved on Thursday. On Tuesday, the Verkhovna Rada, Ukraine’s parliament, made changes to its rules that would allow the speaker of the house to dissolve the Communist party. Ukrainian

Interfax: Ukrainian Communist Party leader attacked in Rada

Ukraine Map and Flag

KYIV. July 23 (Interfax) – Petro Symonenko, leader of the Ukrainian Communist Party faction, was attacked by parliamentarians during the Wednesday morning parliament session. After a proposal was made to remove Symonenko from the hall, deputies from the Svoboda faction began pushing him from the hall for his statements “on the killing by Ukrainian military

RIA Novosti: Kiev Receives Russia’s Risk Assessment of Ukraine’s EU Association

EU Map

BRUSSELS, July 23 (RIA Novosti) – Kiev received Moscow’s list of potential risks that Ukraine’s association with the European Union could present to Russia’s economy, Ukraine’s Foreign Minister Pavlo Klimkin told journalists. “Just yesterday, we received Russia’s perception of the potential risks,” Klimkin said on Tuesday. Ukraine signed the agreement on its association with the

Interfax: Ukrainian Security Service keeps recordings of tower conversations with Malaysian Boeing – source

MOSCOW. July 23 (Interfax) – Recordings of conversations between Ukrainian air traffic controllers and Malaysia Airlines flight MH17 have yet to be transferred to aviation specialists for an objective analysis. An informed source in Kyiv told Interfax last Friday, “Recordings of tower conversations with the Boeing crew have been seized and kept by the Ukrainian

RIA Novosti: Russia to Protect Economy From Risks Posed by Ukraine’s EU Association

File Photo of Cash, Coins, Line Graph

MOSCOW, July 23 (RIA Novosti) – Moscow will have to resort to protective measures if Ukraine’s association deal with the European Union poses risks for the Russian economy, Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev said Wednesday. «We believe that the risks remain quite serious, especially concerning technical regulations and standards of sanitary and phytosanitary control. That’s

RIA Novosti: Medvedev Says US, EU Companies Clearly Show Intention to Continue Work in Russia

Dmitry Medvedev file photo

MOSCOW, July 23 (RIA Novosti) – Moscow has received «clear signals» from US and European companies about their intention to continue work in Russia, Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev said Wednesday. «We have received quite clear signals that European and American companies are set to continue work with Russian partners. Time is ripe now to use

RIA Novosti: The Disaster, Lies and Video. And Obama’s Fueling it All

Map of Western CIS/FSU and European Environs

(RIA Novosti - Dmitry Babich - July 22, 2014) The latest breaking news about the agreement of the insurgents in eastern Ukraine to permit Dutch forensics experts on Monday to search the wreckage of the downed Malaysia Airlines jetliner and to transfer the bodies of the victims, as well as the plane’s flight recorder boxes to the

RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#159 contents with links :: Tuesday 22 July 2014

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… 38. Russian Military Reform: Dmitry Gorenburg, Who shot down MH 17?
39. CNN.com: Andrew Kuchins, Act now, or face war in Ukraine.
40. Paul Goble: Window on Eurasia: Convinced of His Own Exceptionalism, Putin is Both ‘a Pragmatist and a Fool,’ Milshtein Says.
41. Stratfor.com: George Friedman, Can Putin Survive?
42. Moscow Times editorial: Moscow Won’t Back Down on Ukraine. …

Convinced of His Own Exceptionalism, Putin is Both ‘a Pragmatist and a Fool,’ Milshtein Says

File Photo of Vladimir Putin Sitting at Desk

(Window on Eurasia – Paul Goble – Staunton, July 22, 2014) In a commentary entitled “Forewarned and Armed,” Ilya Milshtein argues that tragically “there are no particular reasons to hope that Putin will change his approach” in Ukraine. Instead, the Moscow analyst says, he will proceed in ways that reflect his beliefs in his own

Britain Announces Well-Timed Litvinenko Inquiry in Open Snub to Russia

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(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – July 22, 2014) Britain is planning to hold a public inquiry into the death of former FSB officer Alexander Litvinenko while in exile in Britain, news agencies reported Tuesday. Home Secretary Theresa May confirmed that the public inquiry will be held, Reuters reported. The inquiry will open the way for

Russia Beyond the Headlines: MH17 disaster leaves Moscow’s international relations on slippery slope

Russian Foreign Ministry Building Tower file photo

(Russia Beyond the Headlines – rbth.ru – Marina Starodubtseva, Nikolai Litovkin, RBTH – July 22, 2014) The Boeing 777 tragedy, which claimed the lives of 298 people, has seriously changed the course of the political game surrounding Ukraine. We asked the leading Russian experts to assess how the political situation changed after the events of

Moscow Won’t Back Down on Ukraine

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Moscow Times editorial – themoscowtimes.com – July 22, 2014) Despite hopes that the tragedy of Malaysia Airlines Flight MH17 would be a game-changer in Ukraine’s simmering conflict, days later it is clear that this is highly unlikely. Nothing will be dramatically altered by the results of the investigation into the catastrophe. No matter who –

Stratfor: Can Putin Survive?

Vladimir Putin file photo

(Stratfor.com – George Friedman – July 21, 2014) There is a general view that Vladimir Putin governs the Russian Federation as a dictator, that he has defeated and intimidated his opponents and that he has marshaled a powerful threat to surrounding countries. This is a reasonable view, but perhaps it should be re-evaluated in the

King’s gambit: Can Russia remain a world leader on the chessboard?

Chess Pieces File Photo

(Russia Beyond the Headlines – rbth.ru – Svetlana Korneva, special to RBTH – July 20, 2014) July 20 is International Chess Day. Chess is practically the only sport in which Russia has managed to preserve its leadership since the breakup of the Soviet Union. Although public interest in chess has waned in recent years, chess

Why Putin Can’t Afford to Dump the Ukrainian Separatists

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Alexey Eremenko – July 22, 2014) While Russia’s support of Ukrainian separatists has led to its worst standoff with the West in post-Soviet history, the Kremlin cannot afford to disown them because that would spell a major geopolitical defeat and alienate the jingoistic masses at home, Russian pundits said. The

RIA Novosti: U.S. Could Unveil Intelligence Data on Downed Boeing 777 in Ukraine

Ukraine Map and Flag

WASHINGTON, July 22 (RIA Novosti) – The United States could unveil intelligence assessment on the crash of a Malaysian passenger plane in eastern Ukraine, White House Spokesperson Josh Earnest said Monday. “I’m not in the position to offer a specific intelligence assessment. It’s certainly possible that we may be in the position to do that

Interfax: Moscow expects Boeing flight recorders to be given to ICAO experts – Russian Foreign Ministry

Russian Foreign Ministry Building Tower file photo

MOSCOW. July 22 (Interfax) – Moscow is satisfied with the southeastern Ukraine militia giving flight recorders of the crashed plane to Malaysian representatives and expects they will be transferred in the future to the international expert group under the aegis of the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), the Russian Foreign Ministry posted a statement on

Interfax: Patrushev says Russian decision-makers must heed opposition

Aerial View of Kremlin and Environs

MOSCOW. July 22 (Interfax) – The Russian Security Council Secretary, Nikolai Patrushev, has spoken of the need to draw conclusions from what is going on in Ukraine and heed the opinion of the Russian opposition. “The events occurring in Ukraine – their role for us is this: we must draw the right conclusions from them,”

Ukrainian Cows Kidnapped, Trafficked to Russia, Police Say

File Photo of U.S. Dairy Cows

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – July 18, 2014) Against the backdrop of blistering diplomatic tensions between Moscow and Kiev, a 172-head herd of cows has been illegally trafficked across the Russian border, the Luhansk region branch of Ukraine’s Interior Ministry claimed Thursday. The herd went missing Wednesday night from a farm in Luhansk region’s Belovodsky

RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#158 contents with links :: Monday 21 July 2014

St. Basil's file photo

1. Financial Times: Thomas Graham, To stop Putin the west should repair Ukraine’s economy. Those who want Russia punished with tougher sanctions are misguided.
2. Carnegie Moscow Center: Dmitri Trenin, Midsummer Blues.
3. Euromaidan Press/Ukrainska Pravda: The Klimkin interview: terrorism, war, EU, Merkel and Putin. (new Ukraine foreign minister)
4. Reuters: Fighting flares in Ukraine as crash investigators arrive …

Interfax: Russia did not provide Buk missile systems to Donbas militia – Gen. Staff

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

MOSCOW. July 21 (Interfax) – Russia did not provide the militia in southeastern Ukraine with Buk missile systems, the Russian Defense Ministry said. “The Russian Federation did not hand Buk missile systems, or other kinds of weapons or military hardware, to the militia,” said Gen. Andrei Kartopolov, chief of the Russian General Staff’s Main Operations

More blame game in Ukraine as dozens die in Luhansk shelling

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Business New Europe – bne.eu – Graham Stack in Luhansk, Ukraine – July 21, 2014) While the world has been transfixed by the crash site of Malaysian Airlines flight MH17, just an hour and half away dozens died from shelling in Luhansk on July 18. And while the guilt of Russian-backed rebels seems close to

Interfax: Water supplies to Donetsk stopped, city has water to last five days at most

File Photo of Water Facet with Drop of Water Coming Out

KYIV. July 21 (Interfax) – Donbas Water Company has stopped three pumping stations bringing water to the Seversky Donets – Donbas channel due to damage inflicted during battles, the press office of DTEK energy holding company of Ukrainian businessman Rinat Akhmetov said. “Due to the three pumping stations which have stopped pumping water to the

Russian Billionaires in ‘Horror’ as Putin Risks Isolation

File Photo of Cash, Coins, Line Graph

(Bloomberg – bloomberg.com – Henry Meyer, Irina Reznik, Ilya Arkhipov – July 21, 2014) Russia’s richest businessmen are increasingly frantic that President Vladimir Putin’s policies in Ukraine will lead to crippling sanctions and are too scared of reprisal to say so publicly, billionaires and analysts said. If Putin doesn’t move to end the war in

United States Assessment of the Downing of Flight MH17 and its Aftermath

File Photo of U.S. Embassy in Kiev, Ukraine, with U.S. Flag on Pole and U.S. Military

Embassy of the United States, Kyiv Ukraine July 19, 2014 We assess that Flight MH17 was likely downed by a SA-11 surface-to-air missile from separatist-controlled territory in eastern Ukraine. We base this judgment on several factors. Over the past month, we have detected an increasing amount of heavy weaponry to separatist fighters crossing the border

New Post on Russian Guilt; “Here Are The Intercepted Transcripts Indicating Russian Rebels Shot Down Malaysian Flight MH17″

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

[featured image is file photo] Subject: FW: new post on Russian guilt Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2014 From: Anders Aslund <AAslund@PIIE.COM> David: Another version of the same evidence. Best, Anders From: paul roderick gregory [pgregory@stanford.edu] Sent: Saturday, July 19, 2014 3:27 PM To: Anders Aslund; Gregory Paul Subject: new post on Russian guilt http://www.forbes.com/sites/paulroderickgregory/2014/07/19/what-more-smoking-guns-are-needed-for-mh17-the-worlds-first-sam-terrorism/ Forbes.com

The truth about MH17

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

[featured image is file photo] Subject: The truth about MH17 Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2014 From: Anders Aslund <AAslund@PIIE.COM> David: I hope you will lead with this excellent SBU video with English text next time. You can hardly get a better view of the reality of the MH17. http://www.sbu.gov.ua/sbu/control/en/publish/article?art_id=129088&cat_id=35317 Best, Anders [note from JRL web

The Nightmare of Being a Russian-Language Ukrainian Playwright

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – John Freedman – July 21, 2014) “I don’t know what to do about it, John. It is a nightmare and it is hell. And something in me has been broken irreparably.” Thus responded Maksym Kurochkin, a Ukrainian Russian-language playwright, to my question about what he is experiencing these days. As

RIA Novosti: Kiev Says Needs Almost $780 Million to Continue Special Operation

Ukraine Map and Flag

MOSCOW, July 22 (RIA Novosti) – Ukraine’s Finance Ministry has asked the parliament to earmark 9.1 billion hryvnia ($780 million) to finance the special operation against independence supporters in the country’s east, the ministry’s press service said. Finance Minister Oleksandr Shlapak said some 6.8 billion hryvnia ($583 million) was allocated for the operation in March.

Ukraine crisis rending the globe

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Business New Europe MOSCOW BLOG – bne.eu – Ben Aris in Moscow – July 17, 2014) The crisis in Ukraine is tearing at global relations on several levels. The tension in the West was highlighted yet again by the lopsided sanctions imposed on Russia on July 16. While Washington targeted Russian banks and oil companies,

RIA Novosti: All Passengers’ Belongings Safe in Place of Malaysia Airlines Plane Crash – OSCE

File Photo of OSCE Banners

MOSCOW, July 19 (RIA Novosti) – The belongings of the passengers killed in a Malaysia Airlines Boeing-777 crash in eastern Ukraine have been safely preserved, a representative of the special mission of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) in Ukraine, Michael Bochurkiv, said Saturday, adding that no distortion by the militia in

RIA Novosti: US Conclusions on Boeing Crash in Ukraine Resemble Statements on Iraq’s Weapons – Rogozin

Dmitry Rogozin file photo

MOSCOW, July 19 (RIA Novosti) – Russian Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin compared Washington’s hasty conclusions on the cause of the Malaysia Airlines Boeing-777 crash in Ukraine to its statement on Iraq’s possession of weapons of mass destruction made years ago. “The White House has established the guilty even before the investigation of the Boeing

How will new round of sanctions affect Russia?

File Photo of Cash, Coins, Line Graph

(Russia Beyond the Headlines – rbth.ru – Alexei Lossan, RBTH – July 18, 2014) The U.S. Department of the Treasury has included large Russian companies in its list of sanctions, including the main institute of development VEB (Vnesheconombank), the major oil company Rosneft, and several defense-industrial enterprises. Experts consider these to be the most serious

RIA Novosti: EC Unsure Why US Believes Missile Shot Down Malaysian Plane in Ukraine – Source

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

BRUSSELS, July 18 (RIA Novosti) – The European Commission does not know on what basis the United States concluded that a Malaysian Airlines passenger plane, which crashed in eastern Ukraine, was shot down by a missile, a source in the EC told RIA Novosti on Friday. “One must ask them. The European Commission does not

RIA Novosti: Medvedev Says U.S. Sanctions against Moscow Won’t Bust Russian Economy

Dmitry Medvedev file photo

LIPETSK, July 18 (RIA Novosti) – US sanctions imposed on Russia are restraints but will not cripple the country’s economy, Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev said Friday. “This is a program of limiting our country, or as is accepted to say, restraining [Russia],” Medvedev told students at a metallurgical plant in Lipetsk. “Sanctions won’t cripple

RIA Novosti: Donetsk Leader Calls for Ceasefire with Kiev to Investigate Malaysia Airlines Crash

Ukraine Map and Flag

MOSCOW, July 18 (RIA Novosti) – The authorities from the self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic in eastern Ukraine are discussing a ceasefire with Kiev in order to investigate the Malaysia Airlines passenger plane disaster, the republic’s prime minister told RIA Novosti by telephone Friday. DPR Prime Minister Alexander Borodai said that a meeting would be held

Interfax: Putin blames Ukraine for Boeing crash

File Photo of Vladimir Putin Sitting at Desk

MOSCOW. July 18 (Interfax) – Russian President Vladimir Putin believes Ukraine is responsible for the Malaysia Airline plane crash on Thursday. “Definitely, the state in whose airspace this has happened bears responsibility for this terrible tragedy,” the Russian chief of state said late on Thursday night at a conference on economic issues. He proposed to

RIA Novosti: Russian Defense Ministry Says Intercepted Ukrainian Radar Activity on Day of Plane Crash

Map of Western CIS/FSU and European Environs

MOSCOW, July 18 (RIA Novosti) – The Russian Defense Ministry says it had intercepted the activity of a Ukrainian radar system on the day the Malaysian plane went down in eastern Ukraine, the ministry’s press service said Friday. “Throughout the day on July 17, Russian means of radar surveillance intercepted the operation of the Buk-M1

Interfax: Russia confirms operation of Ukrainian long-range defense systems on day of MH17 crash

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

(Interfax – July 18, 2014) The route and crash site of yesterday’s downed Malaysian Boeing 777 jet falls within the zone targeted by two Ukrainian squadrons operating a S-200 long-range air defense system and three squadrons operating a Buk-M1 medium-range air defense system, a spokesperson for the Russian Defense Ministry told Interfax-AVN on Friday. Throughout

Interfax: No sign of U.S. wanting to signal to Kyiv in favor of negotiated solution of Ukrainian crisis – Lavrov

Sergei Lavrov file photo

MOSCOW. July 18 (Interfax) – Moscow does not see any sign of the U.S. authorities wanting to facilitate a negotiated solution of the Ukrainian crisis, said Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. “We are not feeling a U.S. desire to send signals to Kyiv in favor of a negotiated resolution,” he said in an interview with

NEWSLINK: IHS Jane’s analysis of the capabilities of Ukraine’s missile systems

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

["IHS Jane's analysis of the capabilities of Ukraine's missile systems" - IHS - press.ihs.com - July 17, 2014] The IHS Jane’s Missiles & Rockets editor considers the shoot-down of the Malaysian civilian airliner in eastern Ukraine. An airliner cruising at around 30,000 ft altitude would be well above the coverage of shoulder-fired man-portable missile systems … * *

RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#156 contents with links :: Friday 18 July 2014

St. Basil's file photo

[check back for updates, including more links; links also posted to facebook and twitter] Johnson’s Russia List JRL 2014-#156 :: Friday 18 July 2014 E-Mail: davidjohnson@starpower.net A project of the Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies (IERES) at The George  Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs: www.ieres.org JRL homepage: russialist.org JRL on Facebook: facebook.com/russialist  JRL on Twitter: twitter.com/JohnsonRussiaLi Support JRL: russialist.org/funding.php 1. ITAR-TASS: Militias do not have

NEWSLINK: World leaders demand answers after airliner downed over Ukraine with 298 dead

Ukraine Map and Flag

["World leaders demand answers after airliner downed over Ukraine with 298 dead" - Reuters - Anton Zverev - July 18, 2014] Reuters covers the shoot-down of the Malaysian civilian jumbo jet in eastern Ukraine and its aftermath, including calls for an international investigation. World leaders demanded an international investigation into the shooting down of a Malaysian airliner

RIA Novosti: Ukraine Predicts Bilateral Trade with Russia to Cease

Map of Commonwealth of Independent States, European Portion

KIEV, July 18 (RIA Novosti) – Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk on Friday predicted that bilateral trade between Russia and Ukraine could come to a full stop over the complicated relations between the two countries and European sanctions imposed on Russia. “My prediction is the following: preparations reqired for an almost complete limitation of trade

NEWSLINK: Rival Claims Over Crashed Malaysia Plane’s Recorders

Ukraine Map and Flag

["Rival Claims Over Crashed Malaysia Plane's Recorders" - New York Times - Sabrina Tavernise, Keith Bradsher - July 18, 2014] The New York Times reports on investigations in the aftermath of the shoot-down of Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 in eastern Ukraine, including questions about who will gain custody of the doomed jet’s data recorders. The grisly

Interfax: Defense Ministry denies Russian air defense involvement in Boeing 777 crash

File Photo of Buk-1 SAM

(Interfax – MOSCOW, July 18, 2014) The Russian Defense Ministry has denied the alleged involvement of Russian air defense and military aircraft in the crash of the Malaysia Airlines Boeing 777. “In view of various kinds of speculations regarding operations of the Russian armed forces in the areas bordering Ukrainian, we affirm that air defense

NEWSLINK: Ukraine’s emergency services find two black boxes at crash site – Interfax-Ukraine

Ukraine Map and Flag

["Ukraine's emergency services find two black boxes at crash site- - Interfax-Ukraine" - Reuters - KIEV, July 18, 2014] Reuters reports on claims that black boxes have been found near the crash site of a Malaysian airliner in eastern Ukraine: Ukraine’s emergency services have found two black boxes at the crash site of a Malaysian airliner, Interfax-Ukraine quoted

RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#155 contents with links :: Wednesday 16 July 2014

St. Basil's file photo

… 21. Paul Goble: Window on Eurasia: Russians and Ukrainians Becoming Like Serbs and Croatians, Solovey Says.
22. RFE/RL: Brian Whitmore, Slobodan’s Ghost.
23. www.foreignpolicy.com: Jeffrey Lewis, The only way to contain Moscow is to understand that there’s a still cold warrior in the Kremlin. …

Business Mood Brightens, But Won’t Save Russian Economy, Study Finds

File Photo of Cash, Coins, Line Graph

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Delphine d’Amora – July 16, 2014) Economic sentiment among Russian businesses improved in the second quarter, but the effect was largely seasonal and shot through with troubling long-term trends, a study published by the Higher School of Economics found. As the mood in retail and the services industry brightened –

Interfax: Most Ukrainian industrial production facilities will stop with severance of diplomatic ties with Russia – Federation Council members

Federation Council file photo

MOSCOW. July 16 (Interfax) – Members of the Russian Federation Council believe that Ukraine would experience grave socioeconomic consequences from the possible severance of diplomatic relations with Russia. Nikolai Ryzhkov, Federation Council member and the head of a public committee for support of the residents of southeastern Ukraine, described remarks by Ukrainian officials suggesting that

Slobodan’s Ghost

File Photo of Slobodan Milosevic at Table in Profile, Surrounded by Officials and Others

(RFE/RL – rferl.org – Brian Whitmore – July 14, 2014) There’s a specter haunting Vladimir Putin — the specter of Slobodan Milosevic. As the Ukraine crisis has unfolded, it has become fashionable — and even a bit of a fetish — to compare the Kremlin leader to the late Serbian dictator. Writing recently in “The New Republic,” Vera Mironova

Russians and Ukrainians Becoming Like Serbs and Croatians, Solovey Says

Map of Commonwealth of Independent States, European Portion

(Window on Eurasia – Paul Goble – Staunton, July 16, 2014) The conflict in southeastern Ukraine is becoming like the Yugoslav war with the Russians and Ukrainians becoming like the Serbs and Croatians, developments which mean that “we cannot now even imagine the consequences” of this war for the region and the world, according to

RIA Novosti: Ninety Percent of Militia in Eastern Ukraine Local Citizens – Self-Defense Forces Leader

Ukraine Map and Flag

HORLIVKA (DONETSK REGION), July 16 (RIA Novosti) – Ninety percent of the independence supporters fighting alongside the government forces in the southeast of Ukraine are local citizens, Horlivka self-defense militia’s leader Ihor Bezler said in an interview with RIA Novosti. “Those Russians who survived the massacre in the airport [on May 26] came to me,

RIA Novosti: West Suspends Fighting Terrorism, Drugs With Russia Over Ukraine

File Photo of Vladimir Putin and Barack Obama Seated with Flags Behind

MOSCOW, July 16 (RIA Novosti) The pause in NATO’s collaboration with Russia in fighting terrorism and drug trafficking because of Moscow’s position on the Ukrainian crisis “punishes” primarily the people of the involved territories and points out the shortsighted approach of a range of Western countries, Ilya Rogachev, director of the department of new challenges

INTERVIEW: Kruk fears “frozen conflict” in Ukraine as Russia spreads disorder in Europe

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Business New Europe – bne.eu – Liam Halligan in London – July 16, 2014) Kateryna Kruk was born in Rivne, Western Ukraine in 1991. After studying for a Master’s Degree in Poland, she returned to Kyiv last autumn as the Euromaidan protests began. Determined to shift Ukraine towards Western Europe, Kruk became heavily involved in

Press Digest: Ukraine leadership launches ‘offensive’ on Maidan

Collage of Russian Newspapers

(Russia Beyond the Headlines – rbth.ru – Darya Lyubinskaya, special to RBTH – July 15, 2014) RBTH presents a selection of views from leading Russian media, featuring news of the possible clearance of the protest camps on Kiev’s Maidan, analysis of the incident in which a Ukrainian shell hit a Russian border town, and reports

RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#154 contents with links :: Monday 14 July 2014

St. Basil's file photo

… 28. Wall Street Journal: Stephen Sestanovich, What the Senate Gets Wrong About Ukraine.
29. The Economist: War in Ukraine. A mounting toll.
30. The American Interest: Lilia Shevtsova, Crisis in Ukraine Blurred Lines Between War and Peace.
31. Reuters: Putin’s goal is to showcase Russia at 2018 World Cup. …

Russia Becoming ‘Land of Obscurantism in Age of Smartphones,’ Moscow Psychologist Says

Kremlin and Saint Basil's File Photo

(Window on Eurasia – Paul Goble – Staunton, July 13, 2014) Despite the trappings of modernity, Russia is rapidly moving toward an obscurantist medievalism much Afghanistan under the Taliban and Iran under the ayatollahs and equally and even more disturbingly much like Germany under the Third Reich, according to Aleksandr Asmolov, a psychologist at Moscow

Russian Government Sets Up Four-Year Plan to Boost Productivity

Cash, Calculator, Pen

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Delphine d’Amora – July 14, 2014) In an effort to transform Russia’s oil-dependent economy into a sustainable engine of growth, the government has unveiled a series of legal and financial measures aimed at fulfilling President Vladimir Putin’s ambitious pledge to increase Russia’s labor productivity 50 percent by 2018. Approved Wednesday

Ukraine Could Recover Crimea Only If Russia Were Seriously Weakened, Moscow Analyst Says

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(Window on Eurasia – Paul Goble – Staunton, July 14, 2014) The Ukrainian government lacks the resources to recover Crimea, according to a Moscow military analyst, and could do so only if Russia were to “weaken to the point that it simply could not defend” the peninsula. Otherwise, talk about “the return of Crimea to

War from Below and the Warlords of Ukraine

Ukraine Map and Flag

(Gordon M. Hahn – gordon-hahn@sbcglobal.net - Analyst and Advisory Board Member, Geostrategic Forecasting Corporation, Chicago, Ill., www.geostrategicforecasting.com. Analyst, Rus Strategic Ltd., Prague, Czech Rep., Senior Researcher, Center for Terrorism and Intelligence Studies, Akribis Group, San Jose, Calif.) Vladimir Lenin once quipped that the Bolsheviks “found power lying in the streets and simply picked it up” in

Interfax: Romodanovsky: Almost 500,000 Ukrainians stay in Russia, over 30,000 seek asylum

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(Interfax – July 14, 2014) More than 30,000 Ukrainian citizens have asked Russia for the refugee status and temporary asylum, Federal Migration Service head Konstantin Romodanovsky said. “A total of 30,495 persons have applied for a refugee status or a temporary asylum,” he told Vincent Cochetel, Director of the UNHCR Bureau for Europe, in Moscow

Editor of Russian-Language Newspaper Tortured and Killed in Eastern Ukraine

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(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – Anna Dolgov – July 14, 2014) The editor of two Russian-language newspapers who was seized last month in eastern Ukraine and who was believed to have been held by Ukrainian government forces has been found dead, his colleague said in an online post. The body of Sergei Dolgov, who was

Who killed the United Ukraine?

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Subject: Who killed the United Ukraine? Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2014 08:38:56 +0000 From: Dmitry Babich <Babich@ruvr.ru> If you want my opinion on who is to blame for the tragedy in Ukraine, I can tell in two words: nationalist journalists. I have been reading Ukrainian press since the early 1990s. The amount of negative stereotypes

‘Isolating Russia’ in the Oil and Gas Sector

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(Gordon M. Hahn – gordon-hahn@sbcglobal.net – Analyst and Advisory Board Member, Geostrategic Forecasting Corporation, Chicago, Ill, geostrategicforecasting.com; Analyst, Rus Strategic Ltd., Prague, Czech Republic; Senior Researcher, Center for Terrorism and Intelligence Studies, Akribis Group, San Jose, Calif.) Since the Russia’s annexation of Crimea in March in the wake of the revolutionary takeover in Kiev in February,

Russian Blog Post Decrying Government’s Internet Crackdown Goes Viral

File Image of Stylized Eye Surrounded by Binary Code

(Moscow Times – themoscowtimes.com – John Freedman – July 14, 2014) Is this an updated version of Aldous Huxley’s classic antiutopian novel, “Brave New World”? Not exactly. If you live in Russia, this will be your world by September 1, according to a blog, “A Guide Through Your Life: What the Duma Has Banned in

RIA Novosti: Russia Considering ‘Surgical Strike’ on Ukraine – Report

Kremlin and Saint Basil's File Photo

MOSCOW, July 14 (RIA Novosti) – Moscow is considering “surgical retaliatory strikes” on the Ukrainian territory after the standoff has led to first civilian victims among Russians on Russia’s territory, a Kremlin source told Kommersant Monday. “Our patience is not boundless,” the source told the newspaper, stressing that “this means not a massive action but

RUSSIA & UKRAINE: JRL 2014-#153 contents with links :: Friday 11 July 2014

St. Basil's file photo

… 2. The National Interest: David C. Hendrickson, Ukraine’s Dangerous Drift Towards Chaos. Tensions are rising; positions are hardening; the tension between “self-determination” and “territorial integrity” is coming into play. What happens now?
3. Moscow Times: Mark Adomanis, For Better or Worse, Russia Is Not Isolated. …

A Kremlin ‘Reset’ – Putin from ‘Defender of the Russian World’ to ‘Peacemaker’

Kremlin and Saint Basil's File Photo

(Window on Eurasia – Paul Goble – Staunton, July 10, 2014) Russian public opinion “is being prepared for a change in Kremlin policy” toward Ukraine, Moscow commentators say, with central government media now downplaying the need for and utility of force and playing up the ways in which Vladimir Putin can serve as “peacemaker.” But

Why Russia won’t start a trade war with Ukraine this time round

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(Business New Europe – bne.eu – COMMENT: Iana Dreyer of borderlex.eu – July 11, 2014) High-level officials from the EU, Ukraine and Russia are holding a trilateral meeting in Brussels on July 11 to address Russia’s concerns about how the free trade and association pact that Brussels and Kyiv signed in late June might have

Putin makes “historic” visit to Latin America

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(Russia Beyond the Headlines – rbth.ru – Yuri Paniyev, special to RBTH – July 11, 2014) Trip will include meetings in Cuba, Argentina and Brazil ahead of BRICS summit. On July 11, Vladimir Putin set off on a six-day trip around Latin America during which he is scheduled to visit Cuba, Argentina and Brazil and

RIA Novosti: Russia Hopes for Positive Outcome of Three-Way Talks on Ukraine’s EU Association – Minister

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BRUSSELS, July 11 (RIA Novosti) – Russia hopes that a three-party ministerial meeting to discuss Ukraine’s association with the European Union will produce a positive outcome, Russian Economic Development Minister Alexei Ulyukayev said Friday. Ulyukayev, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Pavlo Klymkin and European Commissioner for Trade Karel De Gucht will meet for three-party talks and bilateral

Moscow formally approves new U.S. ambassador Tefft

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(Russia Beyond the Headlines – rbth.ru – Nikolai Litovkin, RBTH – July 10, 2014) The Russian Foreign Ministry has given its approval to American diplomat John Tefft’s appointment as the new ambassador to Russia. According to Russian political scientists, the career foreign service officer is known for his anti-Russian position – so how will his

Interfax: Reports of dead bodies sent back to Russia “Ukrainian propaganda” – spokesman

Russian Foreign Ministry Building Tower file photo

(Interfax – Moscow, July 10, 2014) Reports that bodies of Russian citizens killed in the fighting with Ukrainian forces in Ukraine are being sent to Russia are the working of Kiev’s propaganda, Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman Aleksandr Lukashevich has said. “I am not familiar with the statistics and I think that it is rather inspired

RIA Novosti: Moscow Ready for International Monitoring on Border With Ukraine

File Photo of OSCE Banners

MOSCOW, July 10 (RIA Novosti) – Russia agrees to international monitoring of its border with Ukraine, Russian Foreign Ministry’s spokesman, Alexander Lukashevich, said Thursday. “The Russian side is ready for monitoring on the Russian-Ukrainian border, ready to accept Ukrainian border guards in Russia’s Gukovo and Donetsk checkpoints on the border between the two states. But,

TRANSCRIPT: [DoD Senate Testimony:] “Security Assistance and Support for Ukraine”

Aerial Photo of Pentagon and Environs

US Department of Defense “Security Assistance and Support for Ukraine” Senate Foreign Relations Committee Testimony by Assistant Secretary of Defense Derek Chollet July 9, 2014 TESTIMONY FOR THE RECORD Chairman Menendez, Ranking Member Corker, and Committee Members: Thank you for inviting me to discuss the ongoing crisis in Ukraine, which was precipitated by Russia’s occupation

TRANSCRIPT: [Steve Hadley Senate Testimony:] Russia and Ongoing Developments in Ukraine

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Testimony Before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee Statement of Stephen J. Hadley July 9, 2014 Russia and Ongoing Developments in Ukraine It is a great privilege to have the opportunity to appear before the committee this morning. I would like to discuss briefly what Russian President Putin is seeking to achieve by his actions in

TRANSCRIPT: [Zbigniew Brzezinski Senate Testimony:] Russia and Developments in Ukraine

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Statement before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee “RUSSIA AND DEVELOPMENTS IN UKRAINE” A Statement by Dr. Zbigniew Brzezinski Counselor and Trustee Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) July 9, 2014 More than three months have passed since Putin’s triumphalist speech to the Russian Parliament. In it, he exalted in his military seizure of Crimea

TRANSCRIPT: [Treasury Department Senate Testimony:] Russia and Developments in Ukraine

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US Department of the Treasury Testimony of Assistant Secretary Daniel L. Glaser Senate Foreign Relations Committee Russia and Developments in Ukraine Wednesday, July 9, 2014 Chairman Menendez, Ranking Member Corker, and distinguished Members of this Committee, thank you for inviting me to speak to you again about the Administration’s response to Russia’s occupation and purported

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